NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	90		Excitement	6.7 [456]		MVP	Chris Kaman (POR): +19.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	99		Comeback	2.7 [553]		LVP	Omer Asik (NOP): -15.4%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.15	-0.04	0.00	16	69%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.06	0.03	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.00	18	52%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06
Norris Cole	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	11	45%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	30%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	20	44%	-0.04	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	5	23%	-0.10	1	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.11	0.02	10	73%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.09	-0.01	4	58%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,0,0,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.07	0.13	-0.04	19	44%	0.14	4	-0.05	5	100%	0.04
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	18	48%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.00	9	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	6	42%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	27.6	14.8	22.5	2.6	30.2	123.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +5.4%

POR +31.3%

POR +6.9%

POR +8.6%

NOP -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	POR	NBA	NOP	POR	NBA
this game	16.3	16.8	15.1	103.4	113.8	104.2
season	15.8	15.3		106.3	106.5
opponent	15.0	15.2		102.7	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.5	15.6	17.8	16.6	16.3
POR	15.2	16.3	18.2	17.7	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Pondexter	50	51	0.47	-0.97	1.44	-0.09	19	-28	47	15.1	17.9	-2.80	17.2	16.3	0.88
Toney Douglas	16	16	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.16	-5	-4	-1	16.2	16.3	-0.15	17.2	16.7	0.56
Alexis Ajinca	23	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.20	-8	-1	-7	15.8	16.5	-0.72	16.8	16.8	-0.03
Ryan Anderson	34	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	2	-13	15.6	16.7	-1.09	16.1	17.2	-1.09
Omer Asik	50	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.42	5	-14	19	16.9	15.5	1.43	17.0	16.5	0.45
Dante Cunningham	19	18	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	0.13	-16	7	-23	16.5	16.3	0.21	14.8	17.3	-2.54
Eric Gordon	64	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-8	7	16.4	16.1	0.24	16.9	16.4	0.49
Anthony Davis	66	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.42	-2	-7	5	16.3	16.2	0.10	17.0	16.1	0.86
Tyreke Evans	69	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.39	-4	-5	1	16.4	15.8	0.60	16.2	18.9	-2.64
Norris Cole	44	43	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.05	-22	13	-35	17.4	15.2	2.22	17.7	15.9	1.83

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	37	39	1.04	-0.54	1.57	0.18	29	-20	49	15.9	17.5	-1.62	16.8	15.9	0.92
LaMarcus Aldridge	66	67	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.37	9	0	9	16.0	19.1	-3.10	16.5	15.8	0.66
Nicolas Batum	66	66	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.42	2	7	-5	17.0	16.1	0.86	16.3	16.2	0.10
CJ McCollum	45	47	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.17	21	-12	33	17.5	16.0	1.53	16.9	15.7	1.18
Damian Lillard	63	63	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.40	0	9	-9	16.5	17.6	-1.09	16.3	16.2	0.14
Arron Afflalo	63	61	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.18	-3	12	-15	16.0	18.7	-2.70	15.9	17.3	-1.48
Steve Blake	25	25	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.13	7	2	5	16.9	16.7	0.18	16.3	16.3	0.01
Meyers Leonard	21	20	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.14	0	9	-9	19.1	16.0	3.10	15.8	16.5	-0.66
Robin Lopez	49	47	-0.53	1.03	-1.57	0.05	-20	29	-49	17.8	15.5	2.34	15.8	16.9	-1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.8,0.76,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 92, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.6,0.69,0.85,0.93,0.92,1	91.7%
DAL 82, GSW 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.52,0.66,0.43,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.78,0.86,0.92,1	91.4%
DEN 95, NOH 101	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.97,0.9,1	91.3%