NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	123		Excitement	6.0 [242]		MVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): +25.8%
Boston Celtics	114		Comeback	1.4 [87]		LVP	T.J. McConnell (IND): -10.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.19	0.07	0.01	19	66%	0.26	0	0.00	9	89%	0.03
Bennedict Mathurin	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	8	82%	0.19	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Ben Sheppard	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.05	-0.03	8	50%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	8	67%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Thomas Bryant	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.02	12	59%	0.12	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Myles Turner	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	8	65%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Quenton Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Furphy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.02	0.04	11	65%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
T.J. McConnell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	6	21%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	21	66%	0.20	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Jayson Tatum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.07	-0.03	17	56%	0.18	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	-0.01	-0.01	13	75%	0.20	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.01	-0.02	15	57%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	86%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Springer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jordan Walsh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	12	21%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	0.7	30.3	14.7	25.6	2.2	33.6	134.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +18.6%

IND +11.4%

IND +21.6%

BOS -0.3%

BOS -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	14.0	15.3	14.3	124.2	116.3	112.0
season	13.8	15.0		112.8	119.6
opponent	14.2	14.6		109.0	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.1	12.8	13.6	15.4	14.0
BOS	14.7	18.0	15.2	13.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Nembhard	68	67	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.04	23	-14	37	13.4	15.2	-1.77	16.0	13.8	2.18
Tyrese Haliburton	73	73	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.11	13	-4	17	13.5	15.2	-1.70	15.6	14.2	1.43
Myles Turner	67	66	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.09	12	-3	15	13.6	14.7	-1.09	15.5	14.7	0.77
Jarace Walker	51	51	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.28	3	6	-3	14.4	13.6	0.81	15.0	15.5	-0.51
Pascal Siakam	64	64	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.01	10	-1	11	14.2	13.5	0.72	15.4	15.1	0.32
Bennedict Mathurin	62	60	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.03	9	0	9	13.9	14.1	-0.25	15.8	14.4	1.42
Ben Sheppard	44	44	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	13	-17	14.1	13.9	0.20	14.3	16.1	-1.76
Thomas Bryant	32	32	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.14	-3	12	-15	14.7	13.6	1.09	14.7	15.5	-0.77
Quenton Jackson	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	13	-17	13.0	14.0	-1.01	9.5	15.4	-5.89
Johnny Furphy	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	13	-17	13.0	14.0	-1.01	9.5	15.4	-5.89
T.J. McConnell	28	29	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.16	-10	19	-29	15.4	13.4	2.02	14.1	15.8	-1.70

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier Tillman	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-15	21	12.8	15.4	-2.60	13.4	14.0	-0.61
Jaden Springer	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-15	21	12.8	15.4	-2.60	13.4	14.0	-0.61
Drew Peterson	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-15	21	12.8	15.4	-2.60	13.4	14.0	-0.61
Jordan Walsh	41	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.16	4	-13	17	14.4	15.9	-1.55	13.9	14.0	-0.13
Sam Hauser	40	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-9	9	15.0	15.4	-0.45	14.9	13.3	1.57
Neemias Queta	9	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.16	3	-12	15	15.4	15.2	0.20	13.6	14.0	-0.42
Luke Kornet	30	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-6	3	14.6	15.6	-1.01	14.0	14.0	0.08
Payton Pritchard	58	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	-7	5	15.0	15.6	-0.57	13.4	14.7	-1.31
Jaylen Brown	75	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	1	-11	15.2	15.4	-0.22	14.1	13.7	0.32
Al Horford	61	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	5	-19	15.7	14.5	1.16	14.0	13.9	0.06
Derrick White	77	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.06	-20	11	-31	16.1	12.2	3.91	14.0	14.0	-0.03
Jayson Tatum	84	85	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.02	-21	12	-33	15.6	13.1	2.48	14.0	13.9	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.31,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.09,0.23,0.31,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 114, PHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.44,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.15,0.05,0.03,0,0	93.6%
SAS 91, CHI 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.6%
PHI 109, ATL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.11,0.13,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.6%