NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	114		Excitement	6.1 [703]		MVP	Al Horford (BOS): +30.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	102		Comeback	1.4 [845]		LVP	James Harden (PHI): -13.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.19	0.12	0.01	8	106%	0.31	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	0.01	12	54%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jaylen Brown	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.03	18	53%	0.17	4	-0.09	7	100%	0.03
Robert Williams III	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick White	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	9	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Marcus Smart	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	15	47%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jayson Tatum	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.03	20	60%	0.09	4	-0.14	5	80%	-0.01
Grant Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.01	10	64%	0.14	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.02	4	112%	0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.02	19	60%	0.13	3	-0.07	12	92%	0.04
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.02	7	71%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	16	38%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	14	43%	-0.03	5	-0.11	9	89%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	1.8	27.8	16.4	27.6	3.3	32.7	140.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +32.6%

BOS +3.1%

BOS +13.2%

PHI -3.7%

BOS +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	15.0	14.7	14.4	117.5	105.2	113.4
season	14.5	15.2		116.3	115.9
opponent	14.5	14.6		112.3	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.8	14.2	15.8	18.0	15.0
PHI	12.9	15.2	16.2	14.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Tatum	83	84	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.08	13	-1	14	15.5	12.4	3.04	15.0	12.6	2.36
Marcus Smart	68	69	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.07	18	-6	24	15.5	13.9	1.67	14.8	14.4	0.43
Al Horford	62	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-1	14	14.4	16.1	-1.74	15.2	13.6	1.60
Jaylen Brown	72	71	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	1	10	13.9	18.2	-4.27	13.8	17.1	-3.35
Grant Williams	47	46	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.24	1	11	-10	14.7	15.4	-0.72	15.3	14.1	1.14
Derrick White	67	67	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	7	-2	15.0	15.1	-0.15	14.6	14.7	-0.06
Malcolm Brogdon	53	52	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.17	0	12	-12	15.9	14.0	1.89	14.5	14.9	-0.43
Robert Williams III	33	32	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.17	-1	13	-14	15.7	14.7	1.06	14.0	15.0	-1.03

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen McDaniels	22	24	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.17	10	-22	32	13.3	15.1	-1.79	17.1	14.4	2.73
Danuel House Jr.	1	1	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-12	12	0.0	14.8	-14.81	19.0	15.0	4.01
Paul Reed	15	16	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-8	4	13.3	14.9	-1.65	20.1	14.0	6.10
P.J. Tucker	52	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-1	-10	15.3	14.0	1.31	14.3	15.8	-1.51
De'Anthony Melton	60	61	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.28	1	-13	14	13.5	16.5	-2.95	15.9	13.5	2.39
Georges Niang	34	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-3	-6	16.9	13.5	3.38	16.4	14.3	2.10
Joel Embiid	82	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	-4	-4	14.9	13.3	1.65	14.0	20.1	-6.10
Tobias Harris	54	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	6	-24	14.3	15.1	-0.82	14.2	16.0	-1.86
James Harden	84	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	0	-12	14.5	15.4	-0.84	15.0	15.1	-0.13
Tyrese Maxey	81	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	-3	-6	15.1	12.4	2.66	14.2	19.8	-5.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.44,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.15,0.05,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 76, POR 68	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.6%
DET 97, CHI 73	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%
CHI 118, SEA 108	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.25,0.3,0.42,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0	93.1%