NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	122		Excitement	5.0 [327]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (DAL): +31.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	126		Comeback	1.0 [364]		LVP	Klay Thompson (DAL): -8.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.31	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31	0.28	0.07	0.03	26	75%	0.36	4	-0.04	9	100%	0.06
Quentin Grimes	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.02	10	68%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gafford	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	8	75%	0.08	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Dwight Powell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	-0.00	0.07	7	79%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jazian Gortman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.03
Maxi Kleber	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.09	13	55%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	17	35%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.01	-0.00	18	59%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.01	-0.05	13	57%	0.13	2	-0.02	11	82%	0.02
Scoot Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.02	15	58%	0.12	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.06	-0.02	15	62%	0.17	4	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	9	64%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	18	58%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Kris Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rayan Rupert	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Clingan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	50%	0.02	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.7	29.7	14.7	29.5	2.4	34.4	136.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +39.7%

POR +1.5%

POR +10.1%

DAL -2.6%

POR +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	POR	NBA	DAL	POR	NBA
this game	14.0	13.9	14.3	117.3	122.3	112.0
season	14.0	14.3		115.9	107.9
opponent	14.4	14.6		116.0	111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.9	14.0	13.0	14.1	14.0
POR	14.5	13.7	11.8	15.9	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jazian Gortman	10	10	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.18	7	-11	18	15.4	13.8	1.58	14.9	13.7	1.16
Kessler Edwards	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-7	10	10.0	14.0	-4.01	6.0	13.9	-7.93
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	32	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.16	1	-5	6	13.2	14.3	-1.18	12.2	14.6	-2.42
Dwight Powell	18	18	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	3	-10	11.9	14.4	-2.52	13.3	14.0	-0.63
Daniel Gafford	64	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.08	-5	1	-6	14.4	13.2	1.21	13.4	14.6	-1.25
Maxi Kleber	68	68	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.28	1	-5	6	14.1	13.6	0.51	14.5	12.7	1.81
Klay Thompson	72	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-8	12	14.1	13.6	0.50	14.6	12.2	2.42
Quentin Grimes	60	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-5	6	13.1	15.1	-2.02	14.2	13.4	0.75
Jaden Hardy	38	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	7	-18	13.8	14.1	-0.24	12.6	14.6	-1.94
Spencer Dinwiddie	73	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.42	3	-7	10	14.0	13.8	0.19	14.6	12.0	2.58
Kyrie Irving	84	82	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.06	-17	13	-30	14.6	11.3	3.31	13.5	15.3	-1.86

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaedon Sharpe	81	82	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.10	17	-13	30	13.3	16.0	-2.79	14.6	11.5	3.13
Deandre Ayton	75	76	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.11	16	-12	28	13.3	15.2	-1.87	14.9	11.4	3.58
Jerami Grant	90	91	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.21	11	-7	18	13.5	16.3	-2.81	14.4	10.9	3.48
Anfernee Simons	86	87	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.23	7	-3	10	13.1	17.6	-4.47	14.3	12.1	2.29
Scoot Henderson	65	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	1	2	13.8	13.9	-0.11	12.8	16.0	-3.25
Deni Avdija	63	63	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.46	-8	12	-20	15.2	11.8	3.36	14.7	12.9	1.84
Kris Murray	18	18	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.14	-6	10	-16	15.3	13.5	1.79	11.9	14.4	-2.45
Donovan Clingan	28	28	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.28	-12	16	-28	15.2	13.3	1.87	11.4	14.9	-3.58
Rayan Rupert	9	10	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.16	-8	12	-20	18.0	13.5	4.54	8.3	14.6	-6.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 86, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.81,0.88,0.95,0.96,1	94.9%
BKN 87, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.89,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	94.7%
CHI 84, NJN 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%