NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	96		Excitement	5.3 [304]		MVP	Julian Champagnie (SAS): +17.8%
Brooklyn Nets	87		Comeback	3.5 [267]		LVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (BKN): -14.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julian Champagnie	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.04	0.03	9	95%	0.21	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Victor Wembanyama	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	14	63%	0.16	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tre Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	50%	0.01	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keldon Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	11	58%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Jeremy Sochan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.01	7	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.02
Chris Paul	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	6	36%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.01
Stephon Castle	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.02	-0.05	7	33%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Devin Vassell	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	16	31%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.00	9	73%	0.15	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Noah Clowney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reece Beekman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.07	20	60%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	14	46%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	13	42%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	13	41%	0.01	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	7	13%	-0.11	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	37.8	14.8	24.8	1.8	33.5	137.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +39.4%

SAS +8.1%

BKN -9.3%

SAS +12.5%

BKN -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	BKN	NBA	SAS	BKN	NBA
this game	14.1	16.3	14.3	102.1	91.6	112.0
season	14.4	15.4		111.4	110.8
opponent	14.2	14.5		115.5	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.8	10.9	13.6	16.4	14.1
BKN	17.0	16.6	19.1	12.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	59	62	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.02	15	-6	21	14.6	13.5	1.10	16.5	16.0	0.44
Julian Champagnie	40	40	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.09	17	-8	25	13.0	15.0	-2.00	16.9	15.9	1.05
Victor Wembanyama	69	71	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.20	4	5	-1	14.4	13.4	1.07	16.1	17.0	-0.92
Keldon Johnson	57	57	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	7	-5	14.1	14.2	-0.07	14.4	19.2	-4.82
Devin Vassell	64	63	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	11	-13	14.5	13.5	1.00	17.4	14.2	3.21
Tre Jones	35	36	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	1	7	13.9	14.3	-0.42	14.1	17.7	-3.55
Harrison Barnes	41	43	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	3	3	13.5	14.6	-1.09	18.7	14.4	4.27
Jeremy Sochan	64	63	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.25	-1	10	-11	15.3	11.6	3.69	16.7	15.6	1.04
Stephon Castle	41	40	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	13	-17	12.7	15.2	-2.51	15.8	16.7	-0.80

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Day'Ron Sharpe	24	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-12	15	16.7	16.2	0.58	12.6	14.7	-2.12
Keon Johnson	72	74	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.32	6	-15	21	15.9	17.7	-1.82	13.8	15.3	-1.53
Dorian Finney-Smith	54	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-3	-3	17.6	14.6	3.04	13.1	15.5	-2.33
Shake Milton	66	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.39	7	-16	23	16.5	15.9	0.65	14.9	12.3	2.60
Reece Beekman	29	28	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.15	-16	7	-23	15.9	16.5	-0.65	12.3	14.9	-2.60
Noah Clowney	46	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	3	-15	16.9	15.8	1.16	15.0	13.5	1.53
Nic Claxton	67	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-4	-1	16.0	17.0	-1.02	14.8	12.8	2.01
Tyrese Martin	40	40	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	1	-11	14.7	17.5	-2.79	14.1	14.1	0.00
Jalen Wilson	77	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.14	-12	3	-15	16.4	15.9	0.53	14.7	11.9	2.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.23,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 88, MIA 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	95.2%
SAS 89, LAC 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.24,0.23,0.32,0.22,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
TOR 127, DAL 116	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.26,0.18,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%