NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	115		Excitement	7.9 [127]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +60.8%
Golden State Warriors	113		Comeback	1.9 [142]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -8.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Reaves	0.51	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.51	0.02	0.43	-0.06	20	57%	0.55	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.07
LeBron James	0.25	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.25	0.16	0.09	-0.01	22	63%	0.28	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Rui Hachimura	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.08	0.00	12	72%	0.22	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Dalton Knecht	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	9	65%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Max Christie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	53%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Christian Koloko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	36%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.61	0.61	0.22	0.41	0.02	24	76%	0.73	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	65%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
Brandin Podziemski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.07	-0.02	19	52%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kevon Looney	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.04	10	50%	-0.00	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Draymond Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	3.5	28.6	17.3	24.9	3.8	43.4	143.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +10.5%

LAL +16.3%

GSW -6.9%

LAL +19.4%

LAL +10.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	15.9	14.5	14.3	121.1	118.9	112.0
season	14.9	13.9		112.3	111.3
opponent	14.6	14.1		109.1	114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.3	16.3	14.5	16.3	15.9
GSW	15.0	15.0	16.8	11.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	74	74	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.33	4	-2	6	15.5	17.1	-1.66	14.3	15.1	-0.81
Gabe Vincent	59	59	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	-1	4	15.9	15.8	0.12	13.9	15.4	-1.54
Austin Reaves	75	75	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.49	-4	6	-10	15.5	17.1	-1.58	13.9	16.4	-2.45
Dalton Knecht	46	47	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	-11	24	16.4	15.3	1.04	15.9	13.1	2.83
Rui Hachimura	81	81	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.48	-5	7	-12	15.8	16.4	-0.68	13.7	18.9	-5.24
Cam Reddish	40	40	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.10	7	-5	12	16.9	15.1	1.85	16.4	13.1	3.35
Max Christie	71	71	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.50	-8	10	-18	15.4	17.1	-1.65	13.7	16.7	-3.06
Christian Koloko	14	14	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.04	7	-5	12	16.4	15.8	0.68	18.9	13.7	5.24
Anthony Davis	15	14	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	9	-16	16.6	15.7	0.89	14.2	14.5	-0.29

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trayce Jackson-Davis	50	52	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.25	11	-13	24	15.2	13.6	1.64	15.8	16.0	-0.18
Buddy Hield	31	32	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.13	-4	2	-6	17.0	13.2	3.72	15.4	16.1	-0.72
Brandin Podziemski	43	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-4	6	15.0	14.0	0.94	17.1	14.8	2.35
Gary Payton II	12	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	2	-6	14.7	14.4	0.23	17.4	15.6	1.77
Kevon Looney	9	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	5	-12	16.3	14.3	2.07	15.6	15.9	-0.25
Dennis Schroder	57	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.36	4	-6	10	14.6	14.2	0.46	15.4	16.6	-1.17
Andrew Wiggins	73	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.43	4	-6	10	13.9	16.4	-2.53	15.7	16.3	-0.65
Draymond Green	71	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.44	2	-4	6	13.6	17.0	-3.45	15.7	16.2	-0.48
Stephen Curry	74	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.44	-1	-1	0	13.8	17.0	-3.20	15.5	17.1	-1.60
Jonathan Kuminga	55	52	-0.95	0.45	-1.41	-0.46	-17	15	-32	14.3	14.7	-0.50	16.2	15.4	0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.41,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.03,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 91, GSW 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.07,0.07,0,0,0	94.2%
DEN 99, CHA 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.45,0.32,0.35,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.09,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.8%
SAS 91, MIN 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.04,0	93.6%