NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	118		Excitement	6.5 [216]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +27.2%
Boston Celtics	114		Comeback	1.7 [112]		LVP	Paul George (PHI): -9.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0.27	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.27	0.17	0.10	-0.01	15	73%	0.31	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.06
Caleb Martin	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.06	0.06	11	105%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.08	0.01	23	63%	0.25	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Guerschon Yabusele	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	9	60%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.02	4	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	5	20%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	15	35%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	13	65%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.15	-0.00	0.08	20	68%	0.16	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.01
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	4	67%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.05	-0.00	15	70%	0.12	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Walsh	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.06	0.02	23	47%	0.10	5	-0.13	3	0%	-0.08
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.01	-0.02	9	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	3.3	27.6	16.8	27.3	3.4	40.5	143.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +21.3%

PHI +18.4%

BOS -16.8%

PHI +21.2%

PHI +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	15.3	14.1	14.3	121.6	115.2	112.0
season	15.2	15.0		107.7	119.6
opponent	14.2	14.2		109.0	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.2	14.8	17.0	15.3	15.3
BOS	13.1	16.5	14.3	12.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	39	41	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.12	20	-16	36	15.7	15.0	0.76	14.8	13.6	1.18
Guerschon Yabusele	42	42	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.16	18	-14	32	16.2	14.6	1.63	14.5	13.8	0.68
Caleb Martin	76	77	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.34	8	-4	12	15.5	14.4	1.16	14.4	13.2	1.14
Tyrese Maxey	83	84	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.33	7	-3	10	15.5	13.9	1.67	13.6	16.9	-3.25
Reggie Jackson	33	33	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	-7	18	14.3	15.8	-1.45	16.2	13.1	3.11
Kelly Oubre Jr.	78	81	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.28	-10	14	-24	15.4	14.7	0.75	13.8	15.6	-1.83
Paul George	70	72	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.28	-16	20	-36	14.7	16.7	-2.01	13.6	15.5	-1.94
Joel Embiid	64	65	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.25	-18	22	-40	14.7	16.4	-1.68	13.7	14.9	-1.17

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	69	70	0.26	-0.76	1.03	-0.38	22	-26	48	13.6	15.2	-1.61	15.2	15.6	-0.42
Neemias Queta	15	15	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.05	-1	-3	2	13.1	14.3	-1.15	17.5	14.9	2.58
Jordan Walsh	3	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-2	0	5.7	14.4	-8.71	19.0	15.2	3.75
Luke Kornet	39	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-3	2	16.4	12.6	3.75	15.0	15.5	-0.48
Jayson Tatum	88	86	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.47	5	-9	14	13.3	20.8	-7.55	15.3	15.0	0.33
Kristaps Porzingis	30	27	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.06	-13	9	-22	13.8	14.2	-0.45	14.7	15.5	-0.81
Jaylen Brown	89	88	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-3	2	14.1	14.0	0.12	15.2	15.7	-0.42
Sam Hauser	27	25	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	8	-20	15.0	13.8	1.22	15.4	15.3	0.10
Derrick White	68	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.29	-5	1	-6	14.6	13.1	1.43	15.3	15.2	0.08
Payton Pritchard	67	67	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.39	-12	8	-20	14.3	13.7	0.58	15.2	15.4	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.34,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.1,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 124, MIN 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.26,0.32,0.4,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.24,0.09,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.0%
UTA 93, MIN 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.0%
PHI 120, LAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.63,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	91.8%