inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 124 Excitement6.0 [543] MVPJamal Murray (DEN): +22.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves 109 Comeback1.6 [845] LVPRicky Rubio (MIN): -10.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0.220,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.270.010.062073%0.2200.00978%-0.02
Facundo Campazzo0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.130.040.08894%0.121-0.0300%0.00
Paul Millsap0.090,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.010.00775%0.101-0.0120%-0.03
Monte Morris0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.050.03758%0.0800.00580%-0.01
PJ Dozier0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.000.050.01844%0.0500.0000%0.00
JaMychal Green0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.050.021064%0.114-0.08250%-0.01
Markus Howard0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vlatko Cancar0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
R.J. Hampton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Zeke Nnaji0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Will Barton-0.030,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.021136%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Nikola Jokic-0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.01-0.040.031270%0.107-0.183100%0.01
Gary Harris-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.01812%-0.0800.0000%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.160.020.031674%0.191-0.032100%0.00
Jarrett Culver0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.040.031362%0.102-0.04650%-0.00
Jake Layman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.05-0.00460%0.081-0.032100%0.01
Naz Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.00-0.00965%0.082-0.06250%-0.01
Ed Davis0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.00-0.01442%0.0000.00475%-0.00
D'Angelo Russell0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.010.041560%0.083-0.0800%0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jaden McDaniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.062125%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Edwards0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00462%0.033-0.0600%0.00
Jordan McLaughlin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Juancho Hernangomez0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.020.021030%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Ricky Rubio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.080.00743%-0.061-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.42.325.414.624.42.526.5122.0
league avg25.62.428.114.828.02.332.7135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +31.6%
MIN -2.8%
DEN +17.2%
DEN +3.4%
DEN +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMINNBADENMINNBA
this game14.914.714.4125.3113.5111.3
season15.014.1116.0108.7
opponent14.014.4113.9112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.213.315.715.414.9
MIN13.514.415.615.214.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Facundo Campazzo43430.65-0.150.80-0.1126-113715.014.80.2315.014.40.56
Nikola Jokic65650.62-0.120.74-0.1727-123914.914.70.2015.014.00.94
Monte Morris59560.55-0.050.610.171321115.014.70.3314.514.9-0.44
PJ Dozier40390.54-0.040.580.131411314.615.1-0.4515.214.30.95
JaMychal Green56530.460.040.420.051411314.715.0-0.2714.814.60.20
Gary Harris53510.050.45-0.40-0.01213-1114.515.3-0.7714.215.2-1.05
Markus Howard210.000.50-0.500.15-520-2518.014.83.2011.014.7-3.71
Vlatko Cancar210.000.50-0.500.15-520-2518.014.83.2011.014.7-3.71
R.J. Hampton210.000.50-0.500.15-520-2518.014.83.2011.014.7-3.71
Zeke Nnaji210.000.50-0.500.15-520-2518.014.83.2011.014.7-3.71
Jamal Murray7272-0.050.55-0.60-0.3196315.014.50.5314.914.00.89
Will Barton4645-0.130.63-0.76-0.01-419-2314.914.80.0414.514.8-0.33
Paul Millsap5352-0.190.69-0.88-0.01-621-2714.515.3-0.7314.315.1-0.74

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Naz Reid46470.09-0.590.680.090-151513.515.7-2.2015.913.91.99
Jarrett Culver58580.00-0.500.510.27-9-6-314.814.40.4515.014.70.36
Jarred Vanderbilt120.00-0.500.50-0.155-202511.014.7-3.7118.014.83.20
Jaden McDaniels120.00-0.500.50-0.155-202511.014.7-3.7118.014.83.20
Juancho Hernangomez5354-0.02-0.480.450.18-7-8114.415.0-0.6915.114.60.41
Jordan McLaughlin1112-0.07-0.430.37-0.153-182114.214.7-0.5515.414.80.62
Ricky Rubio3637-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.17-3-12914.514.8-0.3115.414.50.90
Malik Beasley7779-0.35-0.15-0.190.01-12-3-914.515.2-0.6114.815.0-0.23
Jake Layman4345-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.24-8-7-115.014.40.6914.615.1-0.41
Anthony Edwards4447-0.520.02-0.54-0.29-8-7-115.014.40.5314.815.0-0.20
Ed Davis4950-0.590.09-0.68-0.00-205-2515.813.52.3513.816.0-2.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.26,0.32,0.4,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.24,0.09,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOK 100, IND 910.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.52,0.38,0.27,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,092.8%
NYK 107, CLE 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.32,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.47,0.29,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,092.5%
WAS 94, MIA 840.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.27,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.26,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.17,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,091.9%