NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Excitement	4.4 [368]		MVP	Rudy Gobert (MIN): +7.4%
Dallas Mavericks	99		Comeback	1.5 [170]		LVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (DAL): -7.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.02	7	87%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	13	64%	0.10	3	-0.04	10	80%	0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	10	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.02	24	54%	0.20	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	53%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Josh Minott	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	12	50%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.04	9	74%	0.08	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	9	56%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0	0.00	0.23	-0.07	0.16	27	65%	0.03	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	8	44%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dereck Lively II	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	7	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	4.3	29.3	16.0	22.6	3.5	37.6	138.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +49.8%

DAL -8.9%

MIN +8.5%

DAL -1.7%

MIN +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DAL	NBA	MIN	DAL	NBA
this game	16.2	15.2	14.3	112.9	110.0	112.0
season	14.7	14.0		110.8	115.9
opponent	14.6	14.6		111.1	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.0	17.0	15.9	17.2	16.2
DAL	13.8	17.2	16.1	14.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julius Randle	70	65	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.31	5	1	4	16.2	16.3	-0.09	14.6	16.7	-2.07
Anthony Edwards	75	72	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	-2	10	16.6	14.8	1.74	15.3	14.8	0.49
Rudy Gobert	71	72	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.16	8	-2	10	17.3	12.8	4.48	15.6	13.8	1.74
Jaden McDaniels	65	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	2	2	17.0	14.4	2.64	15.5	14.6	0.95
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	32	30	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.28	1	5	-4	13.7	17.5	-3.79	14.1	15.8	-1.68
Donte DiVincenzo	50	47	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.25	0	6	-6	14.9	17.8	-2.98	15.7	14.7	0.92
Josh Minott	12	10	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	0	6	12.4	16.8	-4.39	16.3	15.1	1.21
Naz Reid	42	42	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.21	-3	9	-12	15.5	16.8	-1.26	15.5	14.9	0.61
Mike Conley	48	49	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	5	-4	17.7	14.6	3.13	14.7	15.8	-1.07

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maxi Kleber	45	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.38	10	-16	26	14.6	15.8	-1.16	15.2	17.2	-2.09
Daniel Gafford	24	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.11	-9	3	-12	16.6	14.7	1.91	16.2	16.3	-0.08
Luka Doncic	32	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.00	-6	0	-6	14.5	15.6	-1.17	16.2	16.2	0.01
Naji Marshall	24	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	1	-8	16.7	14.7	1.97	16.3	16.2	0.05
Spencer Dinwiddie	26	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	3	-12	15.7	15.0	0.72	15.0	16.7	-1.74
Quentin Grimes	46	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	4	-14	15.9	14.5	1.41	15.0	17.5	-2.47
Dereck Lively II	56	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.46	6	-12	18	14.4	16.6	-2.29	17.1	14.7	2.39
Klay Thompson	55	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-8	10	14.8	15.9	-1.18	16.5	15.8	0.71
P.J. Washington	74	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.36	-3	-3	0	15.3	14.7	0.57	16.9	13.4	3.53
Kyrie Irving	68	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.35	-4	-2	-2	15.3	15.1	0.17	16.6	15.1	1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.16,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 126, SAC 116	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0	95.5%
UTA 132, NOP 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
DAL 128, NYK 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%