NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	126		Excitement	3.8 [1023]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +7.8%
Sacramento Kings	116		Comeback	1.1 [177]		LVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): -5.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.08	0.14	0.01	0.07	17	74%	0.09	2	-0.01	8	87%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.02	9	68%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	18	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Jerome James	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.02	11	64%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	16	56%	0.06	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Art Long	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	11	63%	0.04	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Chris Webber	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	28	62%	0.11	4	-0.09	7	71%	-0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	8	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	15	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	56%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	8	46%	-0.02	1	-0.03	8	87%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.3	27.5	15.3	25.4	2.6	39.5	132.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +37.6%

SAC -2.4%

SEA +14.5%

SEA +0.5%

SAC -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	SAC	NBA	SEA	SAC	NBA
this game	16.4	12.8	15.6	127.3	118.4	102.3
season	16.0	14.2		106.3	106.6
opponent	15.5	15.8		99.6	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.0	13.8	19.6	17.6	16.4
SAC	14.4	14.4	12.5	9.8	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Mason	62	60	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-2	14	15.8	17.5	-1.75	12.1	13.8	-1.70
Gary Payton	91	90	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	3	4	16.3	17.7	-1.42	12.6	15.2	-2.69
Brent Barry	73	74	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.14	8	2	6	16.5	16.3	0.19	12.9	12.3	0.64
Rashard Lewis	69	69	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.05	10	0	10	17.4	14.2	3.22	12.6	13.3	-0.76
Jerome James	36	37	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.03	10	0	10	16.5	16.4	0.09	14.7	11.6	3.14
Earl Watson	41	38	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	9	-8	15.8	16.9	-1.09	12.3	13.1	-0.79
Vladimir Radmanovic	43	44	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	7	-4	16.7	16.3	0.41	13.8	11.9	1.93
Art Long	31	30	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.11	1	9	-8	17.4	16.0	1.42	13.0	12.7	0.37
Predrag Drobnjak	49	48	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	12	-14	15.7	17.2	-1.45	11.8	13.7	-1.85

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	14	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-6	2	16.3	12.2	4.10	16.1	16.5	-0.43
Bobby Jackson	39	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-12	14	12.1	13.2	-1.08	17.1	16.0	1.07
Vlade Divac	47	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	0	-10	14.1	11.5	2.64	16.0	16.9	-0.89
Hedo Turkoglu	43	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-11	12	11.9	13.4	-1.51	16.7	16.2	0.49
Peja Stojakovic	90	92	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.26	-5	-5	0	12.4	16.7	-4.33	16.7	12.6	4.17
Mike Bibby	71	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	2	-14	12.8	12.8	-0.05	16.5	16.3	0.14
Doug Christie	88	89	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	2	-14	12.6	14.7	-2.14	16.0	20.5	-4.51
Chris Webber	98	99	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	12.8	0.0	12.78	16.4	0.0	16.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 128, NYK 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
DAL 98, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
SAS 108, DEN 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%