NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	114		Excitement	8.6 [87]		MVP	Mikal Bridges (NYK): +62.6%
New York Knicks	117		Comeback	6.2 [173]		LVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): -10.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Wembanyama	0.26	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.26	0.16	0.09	-0.01	31	64%	0.34	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Jeremy Sochan	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.10	0.16	0.02	10	95%	0.41	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Tre Jones	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	4	78%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Julian Champagnie	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	7	64%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	8	72%	0.17	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.04
Keldon Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Castle	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Devin Vassell	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	11	46%	0.05	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.63,0.63	0.63	0.35	0.29	0.02	25	80%	0.63	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.09	0.01	8	60%	0.16	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.01	0.11	-0.02	10	40%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.02	16	62%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.12	-0.00	10	36%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	23	38%	-0.06	1	-0.05	7	86%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.4	3.5	25.3	16.4	29.6	2.8	30.2	139.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +0.8%

SAS -2.2%

NYK +16.6%

NYK +36.1%

SAS -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NYK	NBA	SAS	NYK	NBA
this game	13.3	16.5	14.3	118.8	120.6	112.0
season	14.4	15.2		111.4	119.3
opponent	14.2	14.5		111.8	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.0	12.7	13.6	14.2	13.3
NYK	15.8	15.5	15.2	20.1	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keldon Johnson	36	35	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.06	5	-8	13	11.8	14.3	-2.46	17.0	16.2	0.85
Tre Jones	31	32	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.14	10	-13	23	12.7	13.6	-0.89	19.1	15.2	3.85
Stephon Castle	36	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	1	-5	13.1	13.5	-0.37	14.2	17.8	-3.64
Victor Wembanyama	82	82	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.39	7	-10	17	13.3	13.8	-0.52	16.5	16.1	0.42
Julian Champagnie	52	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	1	-5	12.9	13.9	-1.04	16.5	16.5	-0.05
Chris Paul	72	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.45	6	-9	15	13.5	13.0	0.51	17.0	14.9	2.16
Harrison Barnes	37	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	7	-17	14.2	12.8	1.33	15.6	17.0	-1.44
Jeremy Sochan	65	68	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.48	-12	9	-21	13.7	12.6	1.13	16.0	17.7	-1.77
Devin Vassell	69	71	-0.88	0.38	-1.27	-0.50	-13	10	-23	14.1	11.5	2.59	16.6	16.3	0.29

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Precious Achiuwa	41	40	0.91	-0.41	1.33	0.50	14	-11	25	17.0	16.1	0.85	13.5	13.2	0.35
OG Anunoby	71	68	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.52	13	-10	23	17.0	15.1	1.87	13.9	12.0	1.90
Mikal Bridges	86	86	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.36	8	-5	13	16.3	18.2	-1.91	13.6	10.8	2.84
Josh Hart	77	77	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.46	-1	4	-5	16.7	15.5	1.24	13.6	12.3	1.35
Jalen Brunson	75	75	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	-1	5	16.7	15.8	0.92	13.7	12.2	1.48
Miles McBride	61	61	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	3	-3	16.1	17.1	-0.95	13.0	14.0	-1.08
Cameron Payne	13	12	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.11	-10	13	-23	15.4	16.7	-1.27	8.7	14.0	-5.35
Karl-Anthony Towns	61	61	-0.43	0.93	-1.37	-0.05	-13	16	-29	15.9	17.5	-1.61	12.8	14.4	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.48,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.27,0.14,0.24,0.4,0.47,0.55,0.67,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 92, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.45,0.37,0.57,0.92,1	91.4%
TOR 73, DET 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.45,0.46,0.64,0.45,0.84,0.91,1	90.6%
DAL 80, CLE 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.38,0.54,0.77,0.73,1	90.5%