NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	111		Excitement	8.4 [105]		MVP	Myles Turner (IND): +30.2%
Golden State Warriors	105		Comeback	2.5 [101]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -30.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0.30	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.3	0.14	0.17	0.01	14	77%	0.36	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tyrese Haliburton	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	11	67%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	18	54%	0.11	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	10	65%	0.17	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Sheppard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	14	40%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Nembhard	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19	-0.04	-0.13	0.02	13	54%	0.02	4	-0.21	2	100%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.10	0.01	16	63%	0.25	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.04
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	9	68%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Brandin Podziemski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	9	45%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	11	59%	0.10	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.05	-0.03	16	48%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	5	29%	-0.09	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.09
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.3	-0.30	-0.11	-0.19	0.00	13	33%	-0.22	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	29.6	14.7	24.3	2.5	35.5	132.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +47.2%

IND +1.1%

IND +18.9%

GSW -22.5%

IND +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	GSW	NBA	IND	GSW	NBA
this game	14.5	14.6	14.3	111.0	107.1	112.0
season	13.8	13.9		112.8	111.3
opponent	14.6	14.6		109.1	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.3	14.9	13.9	17.8	14.5
GSW	13.4	17.2	13.3	14.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bennedict Mathurin	73	73	1.17	-0.67	1.84	0.38	27	-21	48	14.1	15.6	-1.51	14.8	13.7	1.13
Tyrese Haliburton	79	79	1.11	-0.61	1.73	0.29	28	-22	50	14.2	15.9	-1.74	14.7	14.1	0.57
Myles Turner	71	71	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.17	18	-12	30	14.3	15.1	-0.76	14.9	13.6	1.29
Pascal Siakam	72	70	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	6	-6	14.6	14.4	0.14	14.5	14.7	-0.26
Andrew Nembhard	72	70	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	2	2	13.9	16.1	-2.19	14.3	15.1	-0.81
Obi Toppin	37	37	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	2	2	13.8	15.0	-1.14	15.1	14.2	0.92
Jarace Walker	7	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	7	-8	16.7	14.4	2.35	17.4	14.3	3.06
Thomas Bryant	22	20	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.13	-10	16	-26	16.4	14.0	2.35	12.8	15.0	-2.15
T.J. McConnell	44	40	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	0.20	-18	24	-42	16.0	13.4	2.54	13.7	15.1	-1.37
Ben Sheppard	23	22	-0.69	1.19	-1.88	-0.05	-22	28	-50	15.6	14.2	1.34	14.1	14.7	-0.61

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moses Moody	20	20	0.58	-1.08	1.65	0.11	16	-22	38	14.8	14.5	0.30	17.3	13.8	3.52
Kevon Looney	20	21	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.07	7	-13	20	11.9	15.2	-3.34	13.4	14.8	-1.45
Brandin Podziemski	53	53	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.02	4	-10	14	14.9	14.1	0.83	15.0	14.0	0.96
Buddy Hield	33	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.12	-1	-5	4	14.2	14.7	-0.48	13.5	15.1	-1.61
Stephen Curry	74	75	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.40	6	-12	18	14.1	16.1	-2.07	14.6	14.4	0.23
Draymond Green	53	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	0	-6	14.2	15.0	-0.85	15.3	13.6	1.71
Andrew Wiggins	69	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	9	-24	15.2	13.1	2.02	14.3	15.1	-0.77
Jonathan Kuminga	58	61	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.61	-2	-4	2	13.9	15.4	-1.50	15.0	13.7	1.33
Trayce Jackson-Davis	49	48	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.19	-17	11	-28	15.9	13.2	2.76	13.7	15.3	-1.66
Dennis Schroder	61	63	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.13	-22	16	-38	15.0	13.9	1.03	13.9	15.6	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.61,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.34,0.48,0.43,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.47,0.28,0.17,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 122, DET 113	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.29,0.21,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.31,0.07,0,0,0	90.6%
MIL 99, CHA 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.5,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.46,0.53,0.31,0.37,0.09,0.02,0	89.8%
TOR 97, NYK 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.33,0.26,0	89.7%