NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	99		Excitement	7.7 [307]		MVP	Andrew Bogut (MIL): +27.0%
Charlotte Bobcats	91		Comeback	2.0 [417]		LVP	Primoz Brezec (CHA): -26.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bogut	0.27	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27	0.19	0.10	0.01	15	79%	0.29	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21	0.14	0.10	0.02	16	71%	0.32	3	-0.11	10	90%	0.03
David Noel	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	5	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.04	-0.02	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Hodge	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.02	-0.03	13	36%	0.05	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Dan Gadzuric	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	0%	-0.06
Brian Skinner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	13	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.09	0.01	11	65%	0.18	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	-0.04	-0.00	12	76%	0.16	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.06
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	73%	0.08	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	17	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	8	28%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	6	37%	-0.05	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Raymond Felton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.08	-0.01	13	44%	-0.03	6	-0.17	6	100%	0.05
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.08	-0.19	-0.01	7	29%	-0.11	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.8	29.0	15.8	27.2	2.8	36.3	140.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +61.0%

CHA -14.2%

CHA -8.4%

MIL +9.4%

MIL +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHA	NBA	MIL	CHA	NBA
this game	16.8	17.1	15.4	116.5	107.1	104.5
season	15.2	15.7		105.3	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		105.6	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.0	19.4	15.3	17.9	16.8
CHA	17.0	17.5	16.7	17.3	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	56	56	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.33	17	-9	26	16.4	17.5	-1.07	18.3	14.8	3.51
Charlie Bell	68	68	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.37	13	-5	18	16.2	19.1	-2.93	17.5	15.6	1.90
Andrew Bogut	68	67	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.35	13	-5	18	16.0	19.9	-3.96	17.8	14.5	3.31
Ruben Patterson	68	68	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.28	11	-3	14	16.8	16.7	0.09	17.6	15.2	2.41
Earl Boykins	81	80	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.25	11	-3	14	16.4	24.0	-7.58	16.9	21.0	-4.14
Julius Hodge	12	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.01	-1	9	-10	20.3	16.2	4.14	16.6	17.2	-0.61
Dan Gadzuric	25	25	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.03	-5	13	-18	18.6	16.0	2.64	15.7	17.7	-2.02
David Noel	21	23	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.05	-10	18	-28	17.8	16.4	1.37	15.3	17.8	-2.47
Ersan Ilyasova	26	26	-0.43	0.93	-1.35	-0.16	-9	17	-26	18.0	16.3	1.71	14.4	18.3	-3.87

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff McInnis	28	27	0.40	-0.90	1.29	0.04	12	-20	32	14.7	18.3	-3.62	17.0	16.7	0.27
Jake Voskuhl	24	24	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.02	8	-16	24	16.5	17.3	-0.84	17.1	16.6	0.49
Othella Harrington	6	6	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-11	14	18.0	17.0	0.96	20.3	16.5	3.83
Adam Morrison	58	58	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.32	10	-18	28	16.4	18.7	-2.34	17.9	14.3	3.58
Sean May	31	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-5	2	15.7	17.9	-2.25	16.0	17.2	-1.20
Derek Anderson	45	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.12	-13	5	-18	18.5	15.6	2.89	16.1	17.5	-1.41
Raymond Felton	71	71	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.20	-14	6	-20	17.4	15.7	1.67	16.8	16.9	-0.10
Primoz Brezec	36	37	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.42	-9	1	-10	17.8	16.6	1.26	16.1	17.3	-1.14
Emeka Okafor	58	59	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.21	-17	9	-26	17.9	15.4	2.49	17.0	16.2	0.84
Matt Carroll	68	67	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.34	-17	9	-26	17.3	16.4	0.87	16.2	18.9	-2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.5,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.46,0.53,0.31,0.37,0.09,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 121, GSW 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.54,0.25,0.28,0.07,0,0	91.8%
WAS 94, IND 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.05,0,0	91.8%
ATL 78, TOR 72	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.59,0.47,0.25,0.28,0.09,0.1,0	91.5%