inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 121 Excitement7.8 [293] MVPMonta Ellis (GSW): +43.9%
Golden State Warriors 112 Comeback2.5 [488] LVPDorell Wright (GSW): -23.9%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Martin0.250,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.170.150.081473%0.302-0.0513100%0.04
Shane Battier0.210,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.21,0.210.130.110.04787%0.2100.002100%0.02
Brad Miller0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.080.030.00490%0.1200.002100%0.02
Charles Hayes0.080,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.06-0.00871%0.163-0.0810%-0.02
Aaron Brooks0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.040.070.00542%0.062-0.042100%0.02
Kyle Lowry0.020,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.020.030.010.03665%0.092-0.07862%-0.06
Jordan Hill0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.03-0.01743%0.051-0.0400%0.00
Luis Scola-0.020,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.04-0.012143%0.073-0.10450%-0.02
Courtney Lee-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.03643%-0.021-0.0120%-0.00
Chase Budinger-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00650%0.012-0.0500%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monta Ellis0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.440.440.320.160.042081%0.583-0.141479%-0.01
David Lee0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.130.10-0.001176%0.251-0.023100%0.03
Vladimir Radmanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.020.020.000.020.00383%0.082-0.0600%0.00
Lou Amundson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.00-0.00560%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Jeremy Lin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.01-0.02333%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Acie Law0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.02-0.031040%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Rodney Carney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.00437%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Ekpe Udoh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.050.00450%0.002-0.09250%-0.02
Reggie Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.020.041139%-0.0900.00667%-0.01
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.24-0.12-0.080.031332%-0.173-0.0720%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.12.326.415.029.22.637.2136.9
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +35.4%
HOU +2.4%
HOU +15.6%
GSW -6.2%
HOU +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUGSWNBAHOUGSWNBA
this game15.813.715.5123.5115.5105.7
season15.214.8109.5106.6
opponent15.214.9109.0107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU17.713.617.215.215.8
GSW13.713.114.813.613.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shane Battier61610.94-0.441.380.3520-113114.917.2-2.3013.015.1-2.13
Luis Scola70720.86-0.361.220.2720-113115.217.2-2.0512.916.3-3.42
Kevin Martin67680.81-0.311.130.3217-82515.516.4-0.8313.214.9-1.65
Kyle Lowry76740.52-0.020.540.3272515.716.0-0.2213.414.8-1.42
Courtney Lee49470.260.240.030.1836-315.615.9-0.3114.113.40.62
Charles Hayes47490.230.27-0.04-0.0181715.715.8-0.1213.014.5-1.54
Chase Budinger2322-0.100.60-0.700.02-413-1716.015.70.2814.613.51.10
Jordan Hill3634-0.320.82-1.15-0.06-918-2717.115.02.1415.312.92.39
Aaron Brooks3333-0.340.84-1.19-0.17-615-2116.715.31.4215.512.82.64
Brad Miller2825-0.360.86-1.22-0.04-1120-3117.215.22.0516.312.93.42

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ekpe Udoh47460.30-0.801.100.039-182715.212.42.8116.914.82.12
Jeremy Lin19190.24-0.740.980.095-141916.013.22.8116.615.60.98
Rodney Carney2322-0.01-0.490.480.02-1-8712.414.2-1.7712.716.7-3.94
Vladimir Radmanovic3132-0.12-0.380.26-0.275-141914.913.21.7117.115.21.90
Reggie Williams5555-0.19-0.310.110.04-8-1-713.314.4-1.0816.315.21.07
Acie Law6263-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.300-9914.512.42.1415.815.70.16
Lou Amundson3838-0.36-0.14-0.220.11-167-2312.514.5-2.0014.216.8-2.66
Monta Ellis8686-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.24-8-1-713.515.7-2.2415.716.2-0.43
David Lee6467-0.640.14-0.77-0.37-90-913.214.8-1.6816.115.01.15
Dorell Wright6062-0.940.44-1.39-0.30-2213-3513.214.6-1.4715.316.6-1.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.54,0.25,0.28,0.07,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 94, IND 850.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.05,0,092.3%
MIL 99, CHA 910.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.5,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.46,0.53,0.31,0.37,0.09,0.02,091.8%
UTA 112, DAL 1060.5,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.47,0.22,0.1,0.04,091.4%