NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	97		Excitement	8.7 [141]		MVP	Buck Williams (NYK): +28.1%
New York Knicks	94		Comeback	2.3 [198]		LVP	Marcus Camby (TOR): -28.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.21	-0.00	0.22	0.01	10	67%	0.33	4	-0.12	7	57%	-0.05
Damon Stoudamire	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.26,0.35,0.26,0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	20	70%	0.33	4	-0.18	3	100%	0.02
John Wallace	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.06	0.10	0.03	9	75%	0.18	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.06
Reggie Slater	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	65%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.07
Shawn Respert	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Garner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	3	83%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	8	25%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.29	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.29,-0.29	-0.09	-0.18	0.01	11	36%	-0.25	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.09	0.17	-0.02	7	81%	0.28	0	0.00	2	50%	0.05
Allan Houston	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.13	0.02	14	60%	0.18	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.02
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,-0.04,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	12	61%	0.12	4	-0.11	7	43%	-0.05
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	0.00	7	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	70%	0.03	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.12	-0.12	0.01	-0.11	0.02	7	57%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	5	33%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.09,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.04	-0.21	-0.00	16	47%	-0.02	2	-0.22	4	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	26.3	16.4	28.4	2.5	40.8	140.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +35.6%

TOR +5.9%

NYK -3.9%

TOR +9.9%

TOR +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	17.6	14.2	15.6	107.8	103.3	102.5
season	15.5	15.7		98.7	100.4
opponent	16.3	14.8		98.6	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.3	17.6	16.8	18.9	17.6
NYK	12.7	15.1	13.9	15.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	72	74	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.46	10	-7	17	17.7	17.5	0.17	14.6	12.5	2.07
Doug Christie	69	71	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.39	10	-7	17	18.0	16.4	1.57	14.4	13.4	1.04
Damon Stoudamire	82	82	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.44	6	-3	9	17.5	18.5	-0.95	14.4	12.3	2.08
John Wallace	50	52	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	0	3	16.9	18.5	-1.60	13.5	15.1	-1.61
Shawn Respert	10	10	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	3	-3	16.7	17.7	-1.05	15.8	14.0	1.79
Zan Tabak	22	26	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	2	-1	17.3	17.7	-0.42	14.3	14.2	0.08
Reggie Slater	69	67	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.08	-5	8	-13	18.0	16.6	1.39	14.3	13.8	0.51
Oliver Miller	49	46	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.07	-2	5	-7	18.2	16.9	1.34	14.5	13.9	0.68
Chris Garner	27	27	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.02	-8	11	-19	16.9	18.0	-1.12	11.7	15.3	-3.56

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mills	48	48	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.00	3	-6	9	14.2	14.2	0.04	18.0	17.2	0.74
Chris Childs	44	43	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.05	1	-4	5	14.6	13.9	0.70	18.2	17.1	1.10
Chris Dudley	18	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	2	-7	13.9	14.3	-0.33	17.1	17.8	-0.65
John Starks	47	46	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.37	4	-7	11	15.0	13.3	1.72	18.9	16.3	2.62
Buck Williams	55	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.32	0	-3	3	14.6	13.6	1.03	18.4	16.6	1.78
Allan Houston	57	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	2	-7	13.6	15.2	-1.54	16.5	19.6	-3.09
Larry Johnson	79	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-3	3	13.3	20.3	-7.05	16.9	22.7	-5.81
Charlie Ward	47	47	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.46	-4	1	-5	13.9	14.6	-0.70	17.1	18.2	-1.10
Charles Oakley	60	60	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.35	-9	6	-15	15.0	12.6	2.37	17.9	17.0	0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.39,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.33,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 104, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.43,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.54,0.43,0.16,0	92.2%
MIN 108, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.28,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.29,0.33,0.16,0	91.7%
MIA 106, NJN 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.59,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.22,0.55,0.16,0	91.5%