NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	104		Excitement	7.3 [143]		MVP	Tristan da Silva (ORL): +26.3%
Orlando Magic	108		Comeback	8.0 [13]		LVP	Al Horford (BOS): -15.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.08	-0.00	10	50%	0.14	1	-0.04	14	93%	0.07
Jrue Holiday	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	12	67%	0.17	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.01,0.02,0,-0.09,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	29	55%	0.12	5	-0.11	6	67%	-0.02
Sam Hauser	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.07	0.03	12	59%	0.02	5	-0.16	5	80%	-0.00
Al Horford	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15	-0.03	-0.13	-0.01	10	36%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tristan da Silva	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.26	0.26	0.12	0.15	0.01	11	75%	0.28	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.07	0.01	8	69%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.08	-0.01	5	64%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Trevelin Queen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.02	-0.00	9	77%	0.14	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	8	44%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	8	39%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jett Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.11	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.02
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	13	52%	0.05	5	-0.12	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	28.6	15.3	32.7	2.3	40.6	147.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +55.8%

ORL +2.6%

BOS -4.9%

BOS -7.7%

ORL +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ORL	NBA	BOS	ORL	NBA
this game	13.7	13.6	14.3	100.0	100.9	111.8
season	14.9	15.0		118.1	108.9
opponent	14.4	14.0		105.6	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.5	12.5	15.6	14.3	13.7
ORL	14.7	13.7	11.6	14.5	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kornet	44	43	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.03	6	-10	16	14.0	13.4	0.59	13.6	13.6	-0.06
Jaylen Brown	80	81	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.33	6	-10	16	13.5	14.4	-0.95	13.6	13.7	-0.05
Al Horford	75	78	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.26	2	-6	8	13.9	13.0	0.90	13.4	14.1	-0.71
Sam Hauser	35	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	1	-6	14.7	13.2	1.51	13.0	13.9	-0.90
Derrick White	88	92	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.32	-5	1	-6	13.6	14.4	-0.82	13.7	13.1	0.56
Jrue Holiday	73	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.35	-4	0	-4	13.3	14.7	-1.42	13.6	13.7	-0.12
Payton Pritchard	45	46	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.15	-12	8	-20	14.1	13.4	0.76	13.6	13.6	-0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	80	84	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	4	-12	13.3	14.9	-1.55	14.0	12.1	1.89

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wendell Carter Jr.	60	57	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.40	7	-3	10	14.1	13.0	1.02	13.8	13.5	0.28
Cole Anthony	35	36	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.24	6	-2	8	14.1	13.4	0.74	14.9	13.0	1.93
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	76	75	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.35	1	3	-2	14.1	12.5	1.50	13.3	14.6	-1.30
Trevelin Queen	75	73	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.22	4	0	4	13.4	14.2	-0.77	14.2	12.4	1.85
Anthony Black	52	51	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.20	2	2	0	14.1	13.2	0.90	13.4	14.0	-0.65
Tristan da Silva	81	76	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	5	-6	13.1	15.2	-2.13	13.8	13.3	0.49
Jalen Suggs	65	63	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.10	5	-1	6	13.3	14.1	-0.79	13.7	13.6	0.12
Jonathan Isaac	32	31	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.16	0	4	-4	14.2	13.4	0.77	12.4	14.2	-1.85
Jett Howard	12	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	5	-6	12.6	13.7	-1.16	12.4	13.8	-1.48
Goga Bitadze	47	47	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	7	-10	13.0	14.1	-1.02	13.5	13.8	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.28,0.15,0.17,0.27,0.21,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.79,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 100, UTA 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%
MIN 95, UTA 106	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.32,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.82,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.94,1,1	92.3%
LAC 105, DAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.82,0.71,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.2%