NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	132		Excitement	11.4 [8]		MVP	Yves Missi (NOP): +32.3%
New Orleans Pelicans	129		Comeback	25.5 [67]		LVP	Dejounte Murray (NOP): -45.2%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julian Strawther	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.09	-0.00	8	65%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.06	-0.01	3	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.08	0.03	0.08	0.02	12	57%	0.13	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Jamal Murray	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.06	-0.01	0.07	0.00	19	59%	0.22	6	-0.16	8	87%	0.02
Peyton Watson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	45%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Christian Braun	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Nikola Jokic	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08,-0.02,0.03,0,0.07,0,0	0.07	-0.06	0.02	20	60%	0.15	3	-0.15	5	60%	-0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09	0.01	-0.09	0.02	14	66%	0.06	5	-0.15	4	50%	-0.02
Michael Porter Jr.	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yves Missi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.32	0.32	0.15	0.17	0.00	12	72%	0.32	0	0.00	5	60%	0.04
Jordan Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.09	0.02	18	66%	0.23	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Trey Murphy III	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	-0.00	16	66%	0.15	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.02	-0.08	2	50%	0.02	1	0.06	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Boston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	5	67%	0.06	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
CJ McCollum	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.02	21	50%	0.07	2	-0.11	6	67%	-0.04
Herbert Jones	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	8	44%	0.11	4	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.14,-0.22,-0.31,-0.45	-0.45	-0.15	-0.32	-0.01	24	32%	-0.28	2	-0.17	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.4	2.6	28.7	14.7	30.7	1.6	33.4	2.5	18.1	157.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.6	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +1.5%

DEN +18.1%

DEN +39.3%

NOP -7.3%

NOP -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	NOP	NBA	DEN	NOP	NBA
this game	13.6	12.8	14.3	111.9	104.9	112.0
season	13.7	14.7		116.4	107.0
opponent	14.1	14.4		117.4	113.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DEN	13.3	12.9	13.4	15.1	13.6	13.6
NOP	12.4	12.4	12.4	13.7	13.6	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Strawther	43	46	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.11	20	-17	37	12.5	14.3	-1.79	13.5	12.4	1.08
Russell Westbrook	80	82	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.48	6	-3	9	13.8	13.2	0.69	12.5	13.3	-0.80
Nikola Jokic	93	98	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.44	6	-3	9	13.8	12.9	0.90	12.7	13.1	-0.43
Christian Braun	85	88	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.49	2	1	1	13.8	13.1	0.70	12.9	12.5	0.41
Aaron Gordon	78	81	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.49	-6	9	-15	14.1	12.6	1.48	12.9	12.5	0.39
Peyton Watson	41	41	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	-2	7	11.8	14.6	-2.79	12.8	12.8	0.07
DeAndre Jordan	25	25	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	6	-9	12.9	13.8	-0.90	13.1	12.7	0.43
Jamal Murray	92	98	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.05	-5	8	-13	14.1	12.1	1.99	12.7	13.2	-0.53
Michael Porter Jr.	53	56	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	-0.01	-10	13	-23	13.8	13.5	0.33	12.4	13.1	-0.71

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Murphy III	65	61	0.34	-0.84	1.17	0.10	8	-11	19	12.8	12.8	-0.06	13.3	14.0	-0.76
Jordan Hawkins	65	65	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.03	6	-9	15	12.4	13.2	-0.84	13.6	13.7	-0.09
Daniel Theis	33	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.12	-7	4	-11	12.8	12.8	0.01	12.2	14.1	-1.91
Javonte Green	34	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.15	-11	8	-19	12.5	12.9	-0.35	12.1	14.2	-2.10
Brandon Boston	37	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	3	-9	12.8	12.8	0.04	13.2	13.8	-0.65
Herbert Jones	91	87	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.46	2	-5	7	12.6	13.3	-0.72	14.3	11.7	2.60
Yves Missi	90	88	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.54	4	-7	11	12.8	12.8	-0.01	14.1	12.2	1.91
CJ McCollum	87	84	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.53	0	-3	3	12.9	12.6	0.28	14.0	12.6	1.42
Dejounte Murray	102	97	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.41	-8	5	-13	13.1	11.1	2.03	13.6	13.8	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.81,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.71,0.54,0.25,0.21,0.32,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.33,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 109, NOH 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.6,0.25,0.21,0.11,0.16,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.57,0.41,0	90.5%
WAS 130, SAC 122	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.67,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.46,0.25,0.09,0	90.4%
SAC 115, DAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.76,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.59,0.51,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.78,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.6,0.33,0.38,0.15,0.25,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.42,0	89.8%