NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	115		Excitement	11.3 [22]		MVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): +16.5%
Dallas Mavericks	113		Comeback	12.1 [70]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -40.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.06,-0.05,0.16	0.02	0.15	0.01	20	55%	0.23	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Chris Webber	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.03	0.02	15	77%	0.20	2	-0.06	9	67%	-0.03
Scot Pollard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	64%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.03,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.11	-0.01	20	57%	-0.02	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26	-0.12	-0.15	-0.01	8	25%	-0.18	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.27,-0.27	-0.10	-0.18	-0.01	10	44%	-0.20	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Vlade Divac	-0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.11	-0.16	-0.00	5	44%	-0.05	3	-0.21	8	75%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.02	11	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,0.27,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.11,0.11,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.08	-0.00	24	54%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	10	20%	-0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.13	0.03	11	80%	0.15	9	-0.34	8	100%	0.05
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.25,-0.41	-0.41	-0.15	-0.31	-0.06	28	44%	-0.16	4	-0.25	14	86%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	369.1	2.4	36.9	19.6	36.3	2.4	33.6	2.5	14.2	517.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +0.8%

DAL -7.6%

SAC +57.5%

SAC +2.4%

DAL -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DAL	NBA	SAC	DAL	NBA
this game	13.9	15.5	15.6	106.5	104.6	102.3
season	14.2	14.8		106.6	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		105.8	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	14.2	12.8	10.8	16.5	21.2	13.9
DAL	14.6	14.9	14.5	18.6	16.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	65	64	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.45	11	-9	20	15.0	12.2	2.84	17.0	13.5	3.45
Bobby Jackson	92	93	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.40	9	-7	16	13.7	15.2	-1.51	15.4	16.4	-0.99
Scot Pollard	34	33	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	-4	10	14.6	13.6	1.05	16.6	15.1	1.53
Mike Bibby	91	91	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.51	-3	5	-8	13.6	15.2	-1.59	15.3	17.1	-1.86
Doug Christie	83	82	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.37	-3	5	-8	13.4	15.4	-1.95	14.7	18.3	-3.59
Chris Webber	73	73	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	1	0	13.2	15.4	-2.18	15.1	16.4	-1.31
Gerald Wallace	9	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	5	-8	11.7	14.1	-2.43	14.7	15.6	-0.96
Lawrence Funderburke	3	3	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	6	-10	16.7	13.8	2.85	14.3	15.6	-1.25
Vlade Divac	70	71	-0.43	0.93	-1.35	-0.10	-11	13	-24	13.8	14.1	-0.24	15.0	16.5	-1.47

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eduardo Najera	10	11	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.02	6	-8	14	16.1	15.5	0.61	13.7	13.9	-0.19
Shawn Bradley	12	11	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-3	4	15.4	15.6	-0.15	13.2	14.0	-0.80
Adrian Griffin	24	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.05	-2	0	-2	14.6	15.8	-1.24	14.8	13.6	1.18
Wang Zhi-zhi	9	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	1	-4	15.1	15.6	-0.47	9.3	14.3	-4.98
Greg Buckner	33	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.14	-7	5	-12	14.9	15.8	-0.96	12.7	14.4	-1.71
Michael Finley	104	105	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.49	4	-6	10	15.7	10.2	5.50	14.0	9.0	5.04
Steve Nash	91	89	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.48	1	-3	4	15.2	17.2	-1.93	13.8	14.4	-0.63
Raef LaFrentz	89	88	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.46	-3	1	-4	15.6	15.3	0.28	14.1	12.8	1.29
Dirk Nowitzki	94	96	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.48	-3	1	-4	15.8	13.9	1.86	14.4	10.2	4.10
Nick Van Exel	74	77	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.47	-4	2	-6	15.9	14.8	1.05	13.9	14.0	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.76,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.59,0.51,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.78,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.6,0.33,0.38,0.15,0.25,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 121, DAL 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.54,0.33,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.58,0.46,0.53,0.36,0.22,0.42,0	89.2%
CLE 109, NOH 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.6,0.25,0.21,0.11,0.16,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.57,0.41,0	87.1%
BOS 114, CLE 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.52,0.43,0.15,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.68,0.28,0	86.6%