NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	133		Excitement	6.0 [244]		MVP	Malik Beasley (DET): +14.6%
Phoenix Suns	125		Comeback	1.1 [188]		LVP	Monte Morris (PHX): -4.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Beasley	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.04	0.07	-0.03	15	56%	0.16	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.02	0.03	10	80%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.04	0.03	14	67%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jalen Duren	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	7	89%	0.17	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Cade Cunningham	0.11	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	19	60%	0.21	4	-0.10	9	78%	-0.01
Tobias Harris	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.06	0.00	5	71%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.16	0.01	0.03	8	106%	0.19	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	26	68%	0.29	8	-0.17	11	100%	0.07
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	6	92%	0.14	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.07	0.01	20	62%	0.09	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	24.2	15.8	31.3	2.5	39.5	141.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +32.2%

PHX -4.9%

DET +5.2%

DET +16.9%

DET +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHX	NBA	DET	PHX	NBA
this game	14.9	13.3	14.3	130.4	121.4	112.0
season	14.3	14.8		110.6	112.8
opponent	14.3	14.6		114.6	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.9	15.4	14.3	15.8	14.9
PHX	14.3	13.4	13.9	11.4	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	61	60	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.18	11	-3	14	15.2	14.3	0.94	13.9	12.3	1.63
Jaden Ivey	63	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.25	6	2	4	15.0	14.6	0.43	13.1	13.6	-0.48
Jalen Duren	70	68	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.30	4	4	0	15.7	13.1	2.56	13.7	12.3	1.46
Cade Cunningham	76	75	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.15	7	1	6	15.2	13.8	1.45	13.5	12.5	0.98
Tim Hardaway Jr.	60	60	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.09	13	-5	18	14.6	15.1	-0.49	14.2	12.0	2.19
Ausar Thompson	30	30	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	3	2	13.9	15.2	-1.35	14.3	12.8	1.53
Malik Beasley	59	61	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.21	-3	11	-14	14.2	15.7	-1.50	12.1	15.0	-2.87
Simone Fontecchio	33	34	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.08	1	7	-6	13.9	15.3	-1.35	11.6	14.1	-2.44
Paul Reed	29	32	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	8	-8	14.1	15.1	-1.00	12.7	13.5	-0.77
Ronald Holland II	29	30	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	12	-16	15.2	14.7	0.54	12.4	13.6	-1.25

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grayson Allen	43	41	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-10	12	13.3	13.2	0.09	15.0	14.7	0.33
Ryan Dunn	33	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-8	8	11.7	14.0	-2.33	14.5	15.0	-0.51
Monte Morris	34	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-13	18	12.6	13.6	-0.95	14.7	14.9	-0.19
Mason Plumlee	46	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.24	2	-10	12	13.5	13.0	0.53	14.4	15.2	-0.77
Jusuf Nurkic	54	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-2	-4	13.3	13.2	0.13	15.8	13.9	1.88
Tyus Jones	68	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	3	-14	13.8	12.3	1.51	14.9	14.7	0.18
Kevin Durant	82	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	1	-10	13.1	13.8	-0.64	15.0	14.2	0.75
Royce O'Neale	73	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.27	-8	0	-8	13.2	13.5	-0.30	14.8	15.0	-0.25
Bradley Beal	82	83	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.15	-15	7	-22	13.7	11.5	2.23	14.5	16.5	-2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.23,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.14,0.07,0.15,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 96, SAS 84	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.28,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0,0	93.5%
POR 93, MIL 84	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	93.5%
LAL 106, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.05,0.03,0	93.4%