NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	105		Excitement	5.0 [329]		MVP	Svi Mykhailiuk (UTA): +13.5%
Brooklyn Nets	94		Comeback	1.9 [197]		LVP	Cameron Johnson (BKN): -18.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Svi Mykhailiuk	0.14	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.02	-0.00	11	82%	0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.03	-0.03	14	64%	0.17	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Micah Potter	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	12	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Johnny Juzang	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	8	47%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Walker Kessler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	2	83%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Drew Eubanks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Lauri Markkanen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.06	21	48%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
John Collins	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.03	-0.05	13	41%	0.01	5	-0.12	6	50%	-0.00
Isaiah Collier	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	9	39%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.06	9	45%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	10	55%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Clowney	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	0.05	10	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	10	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Keon Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	14	27%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	11	54%	-0.01	6	-0.11	6	83%	0.00
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.19,-0.17,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.04	0.08	15	56%	-0.03	6	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	26.4	14.4	28.4	2.6	25.4	126.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +58.8%

BKN -8.4%

UTA +5.0%

BKN -5.8%

UTA +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	BKN	NBA	UTA	BKN	NBA
this game	13.8	14.6	14.3	102.9	93.1	112.0
season	14.9	15.4		109.6	110.8
opponent	14.2	13.7		115.5	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.6	14.4	11.9	15.3	13.8
BKN	14.7	15.0	15.8	12.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Collin Sexton	71	71	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	3	5	12.5	16.6	-4.08	15.2	13.2	2.04
John Collins	75	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.17	8	3	5	12.7	16.8	-4.13	15.2	12.8	2.47
Isaiah Collier	33	33	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	0	11	14.3	13.5	0.78	15.0	14.4	0.59
Micah Potter	19	17	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	0	11	15.3	13.4	1.89	13.9	14.7	-0.80
Jordan Clarkson	63	63	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	7	-3	15.0	11.9	3.08	14.3	15.1	-0.85
Johnny Juzang	25	25	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.09	12	-1	13	16.1	13.0	3.11	13.9	14.8	-0.91
Lauri Markkanen	76	76	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	7	-3	13.7	14.0	-0.35	14.6	14.6	0.06
Brice Sensabaugh	39	37	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	7	-3	15.5	12.7	2.81	12.6	15.8	-3.17
Svi Mykhailiuk	43	43	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	8	-5	12.8	14.5	-1.66	15.3	14.1	1.26
Walker Kessler	46	46	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.20	-6	17	-23	12.7	14.7	-1.97	14.5	14.7	-0.19
Drew Eubanks	20	19	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	15	-19	14.8	13.5	1.28	14.2	14.7	-0.55

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Day'Ron Sharpe	38	40	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.06	0	-11	11	13.5	15.3	-1.77	14.8	13.1	1.65
Noah Clowney	62	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-8	5	14.8	14.3	0.44	13.6	14.0	-0.42
Keon Johnson	62	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-9	7	14.9	14.1	0.82	12.9	15.1	-2.26
Tyrese Martin	47	47	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-8	5	14.0	15.1	-1.17	14.9	12.8	2.08
Jalen Wilson	46	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-6	1	14.2	14.9	-0.71	14.1	13.5	0.59
Shake Milton	53	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-4	-3	14.9	14.3	0.63	13.9	13.6	0.31
Cameron Johnson	80	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-5	-1	14.1	16.4	-2.30	13.8	13.7	0.11
Ben Simmons	62	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	2	-15	15.2	13.7	1.53	13.5	14.2	-0.66
Nic Claxton	55	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.03	-16	5	-21	15.4	13.6	1.79	13.1	14.5	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.02,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 107, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
TOR 127, NOP 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.29,0.23,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
DAL 100, HOU 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%