NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	100		Excitement	5.2 [762]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +15.7%
Houston Rockets	85		Comeback	2.2 [639]		LVP	Maurice Taylor (HOU): -16.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.03	-0.00	20	67%	0.18	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	6	86%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.00	0.05	6	93%	0.04	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Eduardo Najera	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	13	48%	0.08	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Walt Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Rigaudeau	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	5	20%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Michael Finley	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	10	36%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	13	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Tito Maddox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Juaquin Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terence Morris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	61%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Yao Ming	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	14	49%	-0.04	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.01
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	4	10%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	10	36%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	19	45%	-0.01	5	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	6	7%	-0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	3.4	31.8	17.8	28.4	3.4	32.5	145.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +57.9%

HOU -2.3%

HOU -27.3%

DAL +19.4%

DAL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	HOU	NBA	DAL	HOU	NBA
this game	15.2	16.3	15.5	111.1	91.4	101.6
season	15.1	16.3		108.6	101.7
opponent	15.4	15.3		100.4	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.7	13.0	14.7	18.9	15.2
HOU	12.0	18.9	18.7	16.3	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	73	77	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.00	18	-3	21	15.0	16.1	-1.13	16.5	14.9	1.67
Shawn Bradley	45	47	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.06	14	1	13	14.5	15.9	-1.33	18.7	13.7	4.98
Steve Nash	44	44	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.20	22	-7	29	15.0	15.3	-0.30	17.7	14.9	2.79
Dirk Nowitzki	77	79	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.05	17	-2	19	14.9	17.2	-2.28	16.2	16.4	-0.20
Raja Bell	50	51	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.22	1	14	-13	15.2	15.2	0.05	15.1	17.6	-2.53
Avery Johnson	22	23	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	12	-9	14.9	15.3	-0.39	15.8	16.4	-0.57
Nick Van Exel	54	56	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	14	-13	15.6	14.7	0.89	15.7	17.1	-1.41
Eduardo Najera	10	11	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	10	-5	11.8	15.6	-3.83	20.2	15.7	4.45
Walt Williams	32	33	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	11	-7	14.9	15.3	-0.41	17.3	15.7	1.62
Raef LaFrentz	27	29	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	15	-15	16.1	14.8	1.30	14.6	17.0	-2.48
Antoine Rigaudeau	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	23.2	14.7	8.47	9.4	16.6	-7.25
Evan Eschmeyer	11	10	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.11	-8	23	-31	19.0	14.7	4.33	6.8	17.4	-10.60

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tito Maddox	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-19	23	11.5	16.6	-5.09	23.2	14.7	8.47
Juaquin Hawkins	7	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.09	2	-17	19	9.9	16.8	-6.92	23.2	14.7	8.47
Maurice Taylor	22	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.17	-8	-7	-1	21.6	14.6	6.99	13.4	15.8	-2.43
Terence Morris	8	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-11	7	13.4	16.5	-3.15	18.0	14.9	3.07
Kelvin Cato	17	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-10	5	18.4	15.8	2.64	14.7	15.3	-0.56
Moochie Norris	40	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	-6	-3	17.4	15.4	1.96	16.3	14.4	1.91
Glen Rice	35	34	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-4	-7	18.3	15.0	3.25	15.3	15.1	0.15
James Posey	58	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-11	7	15.0	18.3	-3.25	15.1	15.3	-0.15
Yao Ming	65	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-12	9	15.7	17.6	-1.98	14.9	15.8	-0.91
Steve Francis	72	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-7	-1	15.5	18.8	-3.30	14.9	16.1	-1.22
Eddie Griffin	62	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-5	-5	15.4	18.0	-2.61	14.8	16.0	-1.18
Cuttino Mobley	73	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	4	-23	16.9	14.0	2.81	14.7	17.2	-2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 114, WAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
SAS 100, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	94.2%
SAC 107, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%