NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	120		Excitement	4.8 [338]		MVP	Myles Turner (IND): +15.8%
Phoenix Suns	111		Comeback	1.7 [119]		LVP	Tyus Jones (PHX): -7.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.03	-0.03	10	73%	0.17	2	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Obi Toppin	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	-0.00	7	72%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.03	12	63%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Tyrese Haliburton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	9	65%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Pascal Siakam	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	22	51%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	14	53%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jarace Walker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Thomas Bryant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	5	90%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	9	80%	0.14	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Devin Booker	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	10	61%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	7	63%	0.06	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Oso Ighodaro	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	0.01	0.11	27	62%	0.09	5	-0.09	6	67%	-0.00
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	10	35%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	30.4	15.4	30.6	2.6	30.0	137.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +15.7%

PHX -1.8%

IND +15.8%

IND +18.6%

IND +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHX	NBA	IND	PHX	NBA
this game	13.0	15.0	14.3	115.4	108.8	112.0
season	13.8	14.8		112.8	112.8
opponent	14.3	14.6		114.6	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.2	12.0	11.0	17.2	13.0
PHX	17.8	14.2	15.2	12.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	70	71	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-6	21	13.6	11.7	1.91	15.7	13.3	2.49
Tyrese Haliburton	80	77	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.15	14	-5	19	13.1	12.7	0.37	15.4	13.6	1.84
Andrew Nembhard	69	68	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-2	13	13.6	11.8	1.79	15.5	14.0	1.53
Ben Sheppard	34	35	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	-2	13	11.6	13.7	-2.13	16.3	14.3	2.02
Pascal Siakam	89	86	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	4	1	12.9	13.7	-0.79	14.5	17.7	-3.20
Bennedict Mathurin	82	80	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	12	-15	13.7	10.4	3.27	14.2	18.0	-3.78
Obi Toppin	36	35	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.13	0	9	-9	12.7	13.1	-0.41	15.4	14.8	0.58
T.J. McConnell	37	35	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	11	-13	11.7	13.7	-2.04	13.9	15.6	-1.68
Thomas Bryant	11	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.03	-2	11	-13	11.5	13.2	-1.72	13.2	15.2	-2.03
Jarace Walker	12	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	13	-17	11.7	13.2	-1.40	13.7	15.2	-1.50

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grayson Allen	60	63	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.39	18	-27	45	14.0	16.5	-2.49	13.7	12.0	1.72
Oso Ighodaro	8	9	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-13	17	16.9	14.8	2.05	13.0	13.0	0.01
Mason Plumlee	6	7	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-10	11	15.3	15.0	0.36	10.0	13.2	-3.21
Monte Morris	30	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-5	1	14.6	15.2	-0.60	11.6	13.6	-1.97
Ryan Dunn	24	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.15	2	-11	13	13.2	15.5	-2.28	14.6	12.5	2.12
Royce O'Neale	55	58	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-7	5	14.5	15.5	-1.00	13.0	13.0	-0.02
Devin Booker	53	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	0	-9	16.4	13.5	2.93	12.2	13.8	-1.52
Tyus Jones	54	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	3	-15	16.4	13.4	3.09	12.1	14.0	-1.91
Jusuf Nurkic	69	69	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.13	-15	6	-21	14.9	15.2	-0.28	13.6	11.8	1.79
Kevin Durant	82	82	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.23	-12	3	-15	14.6	16.5	-1.94	13.2	12.4	0.79
Bradley Beal	69	68	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.14	-16	7	-23	15.1	14.7	0.39	13.2	12.6	0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 129, MIN 125	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.31,0.39,0.21,0.18,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
SEA 108, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
MIN 98, UTA 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%