NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Excitement	4.1 [990]		MVP	Joe Smith (MIN): +10.2%
Utah Jazz	87		Comeback	1.5 [432]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -9.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.01	-0.02	9	79%	0.12	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	6	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.01	-0.04	8	44%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.01	-0.06	16	41%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Gary Trent	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00
Dean Garrett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.11	0.01	-0.07	21	50%	0.04	6	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Loren Woods	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	1	33%	-0.03	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	13	57%	0.03	3	-0.04	9	89%	0.03
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	3	87%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	-0.08	8	46%	0.01	3	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	11	45%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	0.06	8	70%	-0.01	2	-0.06	7	86%	-0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	12	42%	-0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	31.8	15.0	24.3	2.5	29.4	129.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +27.2%

UTA -9.2%

MIN +20.1%

MIN +10.8%

MIN +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	16.5	15.5	15.6	108.9	96.7	102.3
season	15.0	16.1		106.7	102.9
opponent	15.1	16.1		101.9	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.4	15.2	18.4	18.5	16.5
UTA	16.2	13.6	19.5	13.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	42	44	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.07	21	-10	31	16.3	16.7	-0.47	18.3	12.8	5.45
Terrell Brandon	62	61	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	4	3	16.0	17.6	-1.59	15.5	15.4	0.06
Rasho Nesterovic	42	43	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.00	13	-2	15	15.6	17.3	-1.76	16.9	14.2	2.72
Kevin Garnett	78	78	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	6	-1	16.5	16.7	-0.28	15.0	18.4	-3.38
Wally Szczerbiak	74	72	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	7	-3	16.1	18.2	-2.04	14.8	18.2	-3.35
Loren Woods	14	14	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	7	-3	19.4	16.0	3.37	16.4	15.3	1.03
Sam Mitchell	8	9	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.05	6	5	1	16.4	16.5	-0.15	19.6	15.0	4.52
Gary Trent	38	39	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	12	-13	17.8	15.6	2.26	14.7	16.1	-1.32
Chauncey Billups	31	30	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	8	-5	17.4	16.1	1.29	15.1	15.7	-0.58
Anthony Peeler	56	55	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.21	-6	17	-23	16.4	16.6	-0.17	14.1	17.7	-3.64
Dean Garrett	5	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	12	-13	16.4	16.5	-0.12	9.2	15.9	-6.66

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	37	40	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.26	12	-23	35	11.8	18.1	-6.29	15.5	17.3	-1.82
John Amaechi	8	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-17	23	11.4	15.9	-4.52	13.9	16.8	-2.94
Andrei Kirilenko	60	62	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-13	15	13.3	19.9	-6.57	15.1	19.5	-4.39
Quincy Lewis	13	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-4	-3	17.2	15.2	1.95	20.7	15.9	4.89
Scott Padgett	21	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	-4	-3	16.9	15.1	1.85	15.2	16.9	-1.76
Jarron Collins	15	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.05	-8	-3	-5	20.0	14.6	5.41	14.8	16.8	-2.04
John Crotty	22	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	-1	-9	16.3	15.2	1.04	16.1	16.6	-0.56
Greg Ostertag	31	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-3	-5	17.2	14.6	2.60	18.8	15.3	3.45
John Stockton	60	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-4	-3	15.7	15.0	0.78	17.1	15.4	1.71
Karl Malone	68	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	0	-11	15.3	16.0	-0.74	16.8	15.7	1.04
Donyell Marshall	67	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	-4	-3	15.9	14.3	1.53	17.7	13.5	4.14
DeShawn Stevenson	48	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	-1	-9	17.2	13.5	3.68	15.7	17.4	-1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 108, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
TOR 94, NYK 74	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
CHA 108, DAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%