NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	108		Excitement	5.8 [259]		MVP	Jalen Smith (CHI): +13.3%
Chicago Bulls	100		Comeback	2.6 [236]		LVP	Josh Giddey (CHI): -12.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared McCain	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	10	55%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.05	0.03	6	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
KJ Martin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	13	46%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	28	50%	0.18	6	-0.15	6	83%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.03	0.05	22	54%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	7	79%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	7	72%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	17	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	71%	0.08	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.08	-0.04	0.07	21	64%	0.12	5	-0.15	5	80%	-0.00
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	7	21%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	10	45%	-0.02	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.8	28.3	15.3	28.6	2.3	28.6	129.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +20.6%

PHI +2.1%

PHI +20.3%

PHI +3.8%

PHI +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	15.2	12.4	14.3	102.9	96.2	112.0
season	15.2	13.1		107.7	111.5
opponent	14.3	14.2		115.6	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.0	13.3	16.6	16.0	15.2
CHI	11.5	12.0	11.7	14.6	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Oubre Jr.	81	81	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.25	18	-10	28	15.4	14.3	1.10	12.4	12.3	0.13
Tyrese Maxey	92	92	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.10	21	-13	34	15.2	14.8	0.38	12.6	10.8	1.73
Jared McCain	58	59	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.05	17	-9	26	15.8	14.4	1.48	12.8	11.8	1.00
Joel Embiid	72	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-8	24	15.5	14.5	0.93	12.5	12.0	0.47
Paul George	77	77	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	4	0	15.1	15.3	-0.19	12.1	13.0	-0.86
KJ Martin	39	38	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.24	-6	14	-20	15.5	15.0	0.49	12.4	12.3	0.13
Kyle Lowry	27	26	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	13	-18	14.3	15.5	-1.14	12.2	12.4	-0.28
Andre Drummond	16	14	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	13	-18	13.2	15.5	-2.28	12.6	12.3	0.24
Caleb Martin	33	31	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.14	-9	17	-26	13.3	16.1	-2.78	12.2	12.4	-0.20
Guerschon Yabusele	30	29	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.16	-11	19	-30	16.0	14.9	1.15	11.1	12.8	-1.70

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matas Buzelis	47	49	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.33	13	-21	34	13.7	11.2	2.48	15.7	14.7	0.92
Dalen Terry	8	9	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.02	1	-9	10	14.2	12.2	2.04	16.2	15.1	1.14
Jalen Smith	42	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.19	5	-13	18	12.9	12.0	0.82	14.3	15.8	-1.53
Lonzo Ball	44	47	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-12	16	12.1	12.5	-0.40	13.9	16.2	-2.37
Josh Giddey	72	71	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.13	0	-8	8	11.8	13.5	-1.68	14.9	15.8	-0.86
Coby White	80	80	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.29	5	-13	18	12.3	12.6	-0.28	15.7	13.5	2.18
Julian Phillips	8	8	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	0	-8	12.5	12.4	0.15	11.5	15.5	-3.98
Talen Horton-Tucker	15	14	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.14	-18	10	-28	12.3	12.4	-0.04	10.6	15.9	-5.32
Nikola Vucevic	62	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.07	-13	5	-18	12.0	12.9	-0.82	15.8	14.3	1.53
Zach LaVine	68	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	5	-18	12.1	12.8	-0.67	16.1	13.5	2.53
Ayo Dosunmu	74	74	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.12	-16	8	-24	12.2	12.7	-0.52	15.7	13.9	1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.12,0.15,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.18,0.25,0.26,0.15,0.26,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 105, NJN 89	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	93.6%
NJN 95, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.2%
DEN 116, LAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.17,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.5%