NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	105		Excitement	5.3 [733]		MVP	CJ Watson (GSW): +15.2%
New Jersey Nets	89		Comeback	2.6 [359]		LVP	Chris Douglas-Roberts (NJN): -14.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Watson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.05	-0.02	14	64%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	7	65%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Mikki Moore	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.04	12	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	59%	0.05	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.01
Stephen Curry	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	13	50%	0.03	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	0.02	-0.01	20	40%	0.01	5	-0.11	5	80%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	7	40%	0.00	5	-0.11	1	100%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Boone	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	15	60%	0.11	6	-0.11	5	100%	0.02
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.00	12	54%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	11	51%	0.02	4	-0.08	15	73%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	14	41%	-0.04	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	13	38%	-0.03	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.4	28.6	15.4	29.5	2.4	26.6	132.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +39.5%

GSW +3.5%

GSW +4.2%

GSW +0.8%

GSW +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NJN	NBA	GSW	NJN	NBA
this game	13.6	15.5	15.3	106.1	89.9	106.0
season	13.4	15.9		106.5	98.7
opponent	15.0	14.8		108.3	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.8	11.5	13.3	17.1	13.6
NJN	15.4	16.2	16.1	14.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	60	59	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.15	25	-9	34	13.6	13.6	0.04	15.4	15.7	-0.37
CJ Watson	64	64	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.08	21	-5	26	13.6	13.6	0.02	14.8	16.8	-1.96
Monta Ellis	87	88	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	3	10	14.1	10.2	3.89	15.6	14.4	1.28
Anthony Randolph	43	43	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.04	15	1	14	12.2	14.6	-2.39	16.4	14.8	1.53
Anthony Morrow	82	81	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	7	2	14.1	11.1	3.05	15.8	14.4	1.36
Stephen Curry	65	65	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	9	-2	12.4	15.9	-3.50	15.5	15.4	0.10
Mikki Moore	55	55	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	17	-18	14.5	12.4	2.12	15.0	16.1	-1.14
Vladimir Radmanovic	39	40	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.18	-9	25	-34	13.6	13.6	-0.04	15.7	15.4	0.37

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Williams	13	13	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.05	3	-19	22	14.2	15.7	-1.47	12.1	13.8	-1.74
Josh Boone	52	51	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.19	6	-22	28	16.0	14.9	1.08	14.2	13.0	1.22
Rafer Alston	61	62	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.20	6	-22	28	15.3	15.8	-0.55	13.6	13.6	-0.06
Trenton Hassell	13	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	-9	2	16.5	15.3	1.19	11.5	13.9	-2.36
Tony Battie	10	10	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	-4	-8	18.6	15.2	3.44	9.4	14.1	-4.66
Keyon Dooling	23	24	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-3	-10	15.5	15.5	-0.03	13.0	13.8	-0.83
Brook Lopez	74	75	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-9	2	15.4	16.0	-0.61	14.3	11.3	3.03
Chris Douglas-Roberts	81	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.00	-14	-2	-12	15.5	15.7	-0.20	13.5	14.2	-0.71
Courtney Lee	87	86	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.01	-17	1	-18	15.8	13.6	2.19	13.7	12.9	0.76
Devin Harris	81	80	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	0.10	-25	9	-34	14.9	18.3	-3.39	13.8	12.5	1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, DEN 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.08,0,0,0	94.1%
NJN 95, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.8%
TOR 129, HOU 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.19,0.21,0.06,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.7%