NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	132		Excitement	6.4 [220]		MVP	Obi Toppin (IND): +20.3%
Chicago Bulls	123		Comeback	1.6 [288]		LVP	Josh Giddey (CHI): -8.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Obi Toppin	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.15	0.06	0.00	8	94%	0.23	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyrese Haliburton	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.09	0.01	17	68%	0.25	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.18	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.07	-0.01	15	62%	0.19	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.04
Johnny Furphy	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	10	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	14	59%	0.08	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.00
Jarace Walker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	15	54%	0.07	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.05	-0.01	8	94%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	5	90%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	62%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Zach LaVine	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	-0.01	0.05	22	65%	0.15	4	-0.09	5	60%	-0.02
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.02	11	59%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	19	49%	0.04	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Josh Giddey	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	13	38%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	24.4	14.7	25.2	2.4	27.2	120.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +37.5%

IND +4.6%

IND +3.6%

IND +1.9%

IND +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHI	NBA	IND	CHI	NBA
this game	14.4	13.1	14.3	125.7	118.3	112.0
season	13.8	13.1		112.8	111.5
opponent	14.3	14.6		115.6	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.0	13.1	13.4	17.4	14.4
CHI	13.2	15.7	11.9	11.9	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	69	67	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.21	9	0	9	14.8	13.7	1.13	13.1	13.2	-0.07
Bennedict Mathurin	73	72	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.18	9	0	9	14.5	14.3	0.14	13.3	12.8	0.43
Tyrese Haliburton	83	81	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.27	5	4	1	14.6	13.7	0.86	13.1	13.2	-0.04
Jarace Walker	51	50	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	0	9	14.6	14.2	0.42	13.5	12.8	0.76
T.J. McConnell	50	51	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	3	3	14.6	14.2	0.36	12.4	13.9	-1.51
Andrew Nembhard	47	46	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	5	-1	13.9	14.8	-0.93	13.8	12.6	1.22
Obi Toppin	50	48	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	9	-9	13.8	15.0	-1.20	12.9	13.3	-0.42
Pascal Siakam	80	82	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	10	-11	14.5	14.2	0.28	13.0	13.5	-0.51
Johnny Furphy	22	23	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	5	-1	13.7	14.6	-0.86	13.2	13.1	0.04

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Coby White	70	70	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.23	7	-16	23	13.0	13.5	-0.48	14.8	13.7	1.09
Ayo Dosunmu	68	69	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-10	11	13.1	13.2	-0.16	14.9	13.4	1.47
Lonzo Ball	37	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-10	11	12.9	13.3	-0.39	13.3	15.1	-1.71
Jalen Smith	41	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-9	9	13.1	13.2	-0.04	14.1	14.6	-0.44
Matas Buzelis	39	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-8	7	12.0	13.8	-1.87	13.8	14.8	-0.94
Dalen Terry	34	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	-1	-7	12.5	13.5	-0.96	12.8	15.2	-2.46
Talen Horton-Tucker	14	14	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-1	-7	13.3	13.1	0.16	13.8	14.5	-0.72
Julian Phillips	26	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	1	-11	15.0	12.5	2.47	13.7	14.7	-1.00
Nikola Vucevic	63	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	0	-9	13.2	13.1	0.04	14.6	14.1	0.44
Josh Giddey	56	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	1	-11	13.6	12.6	1.08	15.6	13.2	2.40
Zach LaVine	72	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.23	-8	-1	-7	13.3	12.7	0.61	14.8	13.5	1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.09,0.15,0.24,0.19,0.32,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.01,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 94, NYK 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.0%
TOR 94, UTA 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.01,0,0,0	93.6%
TOR 104, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.38,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.03,0,0	93.0%