NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	110		Excitement	9.7 [30]		MVP	Santi Aldama (MEM): +30.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	115		Comeback	3.8 [162]		LVP	Scotty Pippen Jr. (MEM): -20.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Monk	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.38,0.33,0.26	0.14	0.13	0.01	16	62%	0.26	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
DeMar DeRozan	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	15	59%	0.14	2	-0.08	14	93%	0.21
Domantas Sabonis	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	11	71%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Keon Ellis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McLaughlin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Keegan Murray	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	12	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	10	30%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	4	0%	-0.11	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.07	-0.02	23	37%	-0.05	4	-0.15	3	67%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.15	0.16	0.00	8	88%	0.31	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jake LaRavia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.10	-0.00	6	75%	0.22	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	10	75%	0.23	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jay Huff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	9	65%	0.19	4	-0.17	5	100%	0.03
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.05	0.04	9	75%	0.10	4	-0.12	6	67%	-0.04
Jaylen Wells	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.06	0.03	5	62%	0.01	4	-0.14	6	83%	-0.00
Ja Morant	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.03	-0.00	13	27%	-0.12	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	9	22%	-0.13	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	32.2	14.7	29.2	3.3	40.3	147.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +84.2%

SAC -12.2%

MEM +13.2%

SAC -37.8%

MEM +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MEM	NBA	SAC	MEM	NBA
this game	14.6	12.0	14.3	100.9	107.5	111.9
season	13.8	13.0		114.2	116.6
opponent	14.3	14.9		106.9	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.5	14.5	15.7	13.7	14.6
MEM	13.2	12.6	10.0	12.5	12.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keon Ellis	5	4	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.04	5	-10	15	18.0	14.4	3.56	9.5	12.1	-2.64
Jae Crowder	30	30	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.05	0	-5	5	13.5	15.0	-1.57	12.3	11.9	0.32
Kevin Huerter	57	56	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.08	4	-9	13	14.0	15.3	-1.34	11.9	12.1	-0.19
Isaac Jones	37	38	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	-3	1	13.1	15.4	-2.23	12.5	11.8	0.76
Jordan McLaughlin	6	6	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.03	-5	0	-5	14.8	14.6	0.24	12.7	12.0	0.67
Keegan Murray	91	91	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-1	-3	14.5	15.1	-0.61	12.3	10.5	1.81
Malik Monk	71	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-3	1	15.2	13.5	1.66	12.0	12.2	-0.23
De'Aaron Fox	88	86	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	-1	-3	14.3	16.0	-1.67	12.1	11.9	0.17
Domantas Sabonis	81	78	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.40	-5	0	-5	15.1	13.1	2.06	11.9	12.4	-0.47
DeMar DeRozan	79	77	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.40	-12	7	-19	15.4	12.6	2.77	11.7	12.9	-1.20

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jay Huff	43	43	1.16	-0.66	1.83	0.28	30	-25	55	11.2	12.6	-1.42	16.0	13.7	2.26
Jake LaRavia	65	66	1.10	-0.60	1.69	0.36	25	-20	45	11.6	12.8	-1.19	14.2	15.3	-1.11
Santi Aldama	66	67	1.04	-0.54	1.59	0.37	23	-18	41	12.3	11.5	0.81	14.0	15.5	-1.46
Desmond Bane	70	73	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.45	15	-10	25	11.3	13.4	-2.13	15.8	12.1	3.72
Marcus Smart	59	59	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	-8	21	12.2	11.9	0.26	13.6	15.8	-2.28
Scotty Pippen Jr.	34	33	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	-5	15	12.5	11.8	0.63	14.2	14.8	-0.65
Jaren Jackson Jr.	56	60	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	0.14	-17	22	-39	12.4	11.6	0.82	14.1	15.2	-1.12
Brandon Clarke	38	39	-0.42	0.92	-1.35	0.02	-15	20	-35	11.6	12.3	-0.75	15.5	14.1	1.45
Jaylen Wells	41	41	-0.77	1.27	-2.04	0.02	-27	32	-59	12.9	11.5	1.40	14.9	14.4	0.44
Ja Morant	63	64	-0.96	1.46	-2.43	-0.03	-32	37	-69	12.6	11.2	1.45	14.2	15.1	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.23,0.33,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.41,0.55,0.63,0.81,0.72,0.5,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.34,0.4,0.56,0.79,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 116, MIN 119	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.53,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.53,0.78,0.78,0.96,1	90.4%
UTA 95, WAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.36,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.84,0.63,1	89.9%
TOR 86, IND 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.4,0.53,0.64,0.83,0.83,1	89.8%