NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	86		Excitement	8.2 [246]		MVP	David Harrison (IND): +15.6%
Indiana Pacers	89		Comeback	4.4 [475]		LVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): -21.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.08	0.08	-0.00	17	59%	0.15	0	0.00	5	100%	0.06
Matt Bonner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.00	6	71%	0.07	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Loren Woods	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Morris Peterson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	8	44%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	6	64%	0.08	1	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Rafer Alston	-0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.02	-0.11	0.02	9	55%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lamond Murray	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	6	23%	-0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	7	29%	-0.13	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.06
Chris Bosh	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22	-0.11	-0.10	0.01	12	43%	-0.06	3	-0.16	6	50%	-0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Harrison	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.07	0.01	12	81%	0.24	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	10	48%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
John Edwards	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	10	55%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Marcus Haislip	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	0.01	19	51%	0.09	5	-0.17	5	20%	-0.11
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.14,-0.18,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	13	46%	0.05	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	30.5	15.6	27.8	0.3	30.0	130.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +40.9%

TOR -27.9%

IND +35.9%

IND +3.7%

TOR -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	IND	NBA	TOR	IND	NBA
this game	15.4	16.9	15.5	96.6	100.0	104.0
season	15.1	16.8		104.8	101.9
opponent	15.5	15.4		101.6	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.5	14.0	15.6	16.7	15.4
IND	17.2	18.1	15.1	17.6	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	25	27	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.02	4	-7	11	16.8	14.9	1.87	17.9	16.5	1.41
Lamond Murray	39	38	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.14	-1	-2	1	15.5	15.3	0.17	18.0	16.1	1.89
Morris Peterson	62	60	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.07	0	-3	3	15.2	16.0	-0.84	16.4	18.1	-1.77
Loren Woods	43	44	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.04	3	-6	9	14.7	16.1	-1.43	16.0	17.9	-1.91
Donyell Marshall	41	41	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-1	-1	17.0	14.1	2.89	18.1	16.0	2.09
Jalen Rose	65	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.51	1	-4	5	15.6	15.0	0.63	17.1	16.6	0.47
Milt Palacio	55	54	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.39	-8	5	-13	15.3	15.6	-0.23	17.6	15.9	1.79
Chris Bosh	64	62	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.43	-7	4	-11	14.9	16.8	-1.87	16.5	17.9	-1.41
Rafer Alston	51	52	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.58	-5	2	-7	14.9	16.1	-1.20	15.9	18.5	-2.59

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Harrison	62	65	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.35	15	-12	27	16.6	17.8	-1.20	15.2	15.9	-0.63
Reggie Miller	68	67	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.45	11	-8	19	16.8	17.4	-0.63	14.7	17.5	-2.71
Jamaal Tinsley	57	56	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.55	3	0	3	15.6	19.3	-3.65	15.2	15.8	-0.54
Jeff Foster	75	74	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.43	5	-2	7	16.2	21.1	-4.90	14.9	17.9	-2.95
Fred Jones	60	61	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.43	4	-1	5	17.6	15.7	1.91	15.7	14.9	0.81
John Edwards	1	1	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	6	-9	29.0	16.8	12.19	20.0	15.4	4.64
Marcus Haislip	9	8	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.06	-2	5	-7	21.8	16.4	5.38	18.4	15.1	3.25
Anthony Johnson	33	33	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.15	0	3	-3	18.8	15.8	2.98	15.8	15.2	0.54
James Jones	49	50	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.06	-5	8	-13	16.1	17.9	-1.83	15.8	14.9	0.97
Michael Curry	31	30	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.10	-13	16	-29	18.6	16.1	2.51	16.3	14.9	1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.4,0.53,0.64,0.83,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 90, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.46,0.64,0.76,0.73,1	91.4%
OKC 116, MIN 119	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.53,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.53,0.78,0.78,0.96,1	91.3%
MIN 89, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.13,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.54,0.67,0.98,1	91.2%