NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	89		Excitement	8.1 [221]		MVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (ATL): +24.6%
Atlanta Hawks	97		Comeback	6.5 [286]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -40.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	4	92%	0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Darrick Martin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	8	59%	0.10	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Gary Trent	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	9	44%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	14	54%	0.04	2	-0.05	9	100%	0.06
Latrell Sprewell	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	15	41%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	6	17%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.41	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.17,-0.32,-0.4,-0.41	-0.17	-0.28	-0.05	24	33%	-0.29	2	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.11	0.14	0.00	21	62%	0.25	0	0.00	10	100%	0.11
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.14	0.00	19	62%	0.27	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	15	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	7	39%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	0.01	0.02	7	43%	-0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.05	-0.12	0.00	3	40%	-0.13	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	0.2	27.2	15.7	28.2	0.2	31.4	126.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +37.5%

ATL +0.3%

ATL +23.0%

MIN -16.1%

ATL +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	ATL	NBA	MIN	ATL	NBA
this game	16.0	15.0	15.7	95.7	104.3	100.5
season	15.6	15.3		103.2	98.2
opponent	15.5	16.1		103.0	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.7	17.4	16.2	15.9	16.0
ATL	13.5	17.8	15.1	14.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	21	20	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.12	5	-13	18	17.0	15.7	1.29	16.1	14.7	1.45
Mark Madsen	29	29	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.00	9	-17	26	16.1	15.9	0.16	16.4	14.4	2.09
Trenton Hassell	58	58	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.06	6	-14	20	15.6	16.5	-0.85	15.3	14.6	0.66
Ervin Johnson	32	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-7	6	15.8	16.0	-0.22	13.3	16.0	-2.69
Oliver Miller	14	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-3	-2	18.6	15.5	3.08	16.8	14.7	2.13
Fred Hoiberg	55	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-4	0	16.4	15.3	1.08	16.1	13.4	2.64
Kevin Garnett	74	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.28	-7	-1	-6	15.4	17.9	-2.50	15.1	14.7	0.34
Gary Trent	37	37	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.29	-12	4	-16	16.0	15.9	0.12	14.6	15.2	-0.60
Sam Cassell	72	73	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.39	-13	5	-18	15.7	17.0	-1.29	14.7	16.1	-1.45
Latrell Sprewell	73	73	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.29	-18	10	-28	15.9	16.2	-0.37	14.0	18.7	-4.70

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	79	78	0.93	-0.43	1.37	0.32	21	-13	34	14.4	18.3	-3.86	15.7	17.3	-1.64
Jason Terry	65	63	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.37	17	-9	26	14.4	16.4	-1.93	15.9	16.1	-0.21
Stephen Jackson	76	78	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.28	18	-10	28	13.9	20.0	-6.11	15.8	16.9	-1.16
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	86	86	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.29	15	-7	22	14.9	16.7	-1.84	15.9	16.9	-0.97
Nazr Mohammed	45	45	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.24	8	0	8	15.6	14.5	1.14	16.1	15.8	0.34
Jacque Vaughn	17	18	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.00	-2	10	-12	16.8	14.6	2.15	15.8	16.0	-0.22
Theo Ratliff	55	55	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.00	-7	15	-22	14.7	15.4	-0.65	15.9	16.0	-0.07
Dan Dickau	20	21	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.07	-13	21	-34	18.2	14.1	4.13	17.4	15.5	1.84
Dion Glover	22	21	-0.60	1.10	-1.70	-0.10	-17	25	-42	18.4	14.0	4.39	16.6	15.8	0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.13,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.54,0.67,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 102, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.41,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.18,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.78,0.91,1	92.0%
PHI 102, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.46,0.45,0.85,0.99,1	91.6%
MEM 96, CHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.38,0.63,0.66,0.83,1	91.3%