NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	90		Excitement	4.9 [334]		MVP	Cameron Johnson (BKN): +18.4%
Brooklyn Nets	99		Comeback	1.3 [225]		LVP	Bennedict Mathurin (IND): -20.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. McConnell	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.01	9	70%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Obi Toppin	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.05	-0.03	11	54%	0.11	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.01	10	56%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	60%	0.01
Johnny Furphy	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	9	67%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	13	52%	0.06	3	-0.04	7	86%	-0.01
Tristen Newton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moses Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enrique Freeman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Quenton Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	8	61%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.15	-0.05	0.01	12	31%	-0.13	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.05	-0.04	18	62%	0.26	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.02	11	60%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	3	87%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.00	8	80%	0.13	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	6	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.02	11	46%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	8	45%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Keon Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.19	-0.02	-0.07	11	18%	-0.06	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	30.4	14.5	30.3	2.3	34.6	135.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +41.5%

IND -3.5%

BKN +15.9%

IND -3.9%

IND -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BKN	NBA	IND	BKN	NBA
this game	13.6	16.2	14.3	92.8	103.1	112.0
season	13.8	15.4		112.8	110.8
opponent	14.2	14.6		115.5	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.0	11.5	14.0	14.4	13.6
BKN	16.3	15.8	17.3	15.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristen Newton	1	0	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-9	9	1.0	13.7	-12.75	0.0	16.2	-16.24
Moses Brown	1	0	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-9	9	1.0	13.7	-12.75	0.0	16.2	-16.24
Jarace Walker	28	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-7	5	13.3	13.7	-0.42	15.2	16.6	-1.40
Quenton Jackson	15	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.09	-5	-4	-1	14.4	13.5	0.92	17.5	16.0	1.45
Obi Toppin	46	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.30	6	-15	21	13.4	13.8	-0.43	16.6	15.8	0.80
Enrique Freeman	8	6	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	-1	-7	12.2	13.7	-1.49	14.7	16.3	-1.68
Tyrese Haliburton	74	74	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-11	13	13.5	14.1	-0.61	16.8	14.5	2.26
T.J. McConnell	58	56	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.07	-6	-3	-3	14.2	12.8	1.42	15.5	17.2	-1.69
Pascal Siakam	77	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-3	-3	13.6	13.8	-0.29	16.0	17.0	-0.96
Bennedict Mathurin	64	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-2	-5	13.8	13.3	0.52	17.2	14.3	2.88
Myles Turner	62	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	1	-11	14.2	12.5	1.73	16.3	16.1	0.24
Johnny Furphy	51	50	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.24	-9	0	-9	13.1	14.2	-1.01	15.2	17.3	-2.09

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shake Milton	57	59	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.09	21	-12	33	15.2	17.8	-2.58	14.0	13.1	0.93
Day'Ron Sharpe	36	34	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.05	22	-13	35	13.5	17.9	-4.38	14.7	13.0	1.72
Ben Simmons	43	43	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.06	20	-11	31	14.3	17.8	-3.55	14.2	13.1	1.06
Trendon Watford	44	44	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	0	9	15.3	17.1	-1.78	13.9	13.4	0.53
Jalen Wilson	75	76	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.31	0	9	-9	16.7	14.7	1.95	13.8	13.1	0.67
Cameron Johnson	69	70	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	13	-17	17.3	13.4	3.89	12.9	15.4	-2.48
Keon Johnson	46	46	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.22	-10	19	-29	17.3	15.3	1.96	13.4	13.8	-0.35
Dennis Schroder	63	63	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.13	-7	16	-23	17.0	14.8	2.21	12.6	15.5	-2.85
Nic Claxton	47	50	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	15	-21	18.0	14.6	3.45	13.8	13.4	0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.53,0.73,0.88,0.9,1,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 111, DEN 122	0.5,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.83,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.2%
MIA 80, BOS 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.99,1,0.98,0.91,1	93.1%
BKN 102, CHI 118	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,1,1,1,1	93.0%