NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	102		Excitement	5.4 [756]		MVP	Doug McDermott (CHI): +29.4%
Chicago Bulls	118		Comeback	1.2 [1127]		LVP	Justin Holiday (CHI): -12.1%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.01	0.02	17	68%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Sean Kilpatrick	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	7	60%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	11	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris McCullough	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	4	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	10	65%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sergey Karasev	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	11	46%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Shane Larkin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	18%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Brook Lopez	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.03	0.03	8	53%	-0.00	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Markel Brown	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	37%	-0.02	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.18	0.09	-0.03	16	69%	0.29	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.04	0.03	12	69%	0.16	1	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.01	7	86%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	75%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	12	48%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	10	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	16	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.05	0.04	8	31%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	1.7	31.2	15.4	23.2	1.6	27.5	121.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +15.7%

CHI +5.6%

CHI +19.6%

CHI +4.7%

CHI +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	CHI	NBA	BKN	CHI	NBA
this game	14.9	16.1	14.9	109.7	126.9	105.1
season	15.0	14.8		101.9	103.7
opponent	14.9	14.8		105.1	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.6	16.0	14.5	13.4	14.9
CHI	17.1	14.7	15.5	17.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donald Sloan	58	59	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.09	9	-25	34	14.6	15.4	-0.85	16.2	16.0	0.15
Bojan Bogdanovic	55	55	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.11	7	-23	30	15.3	14.2	1.12	16.9	15.0	1.90
Brook Lopez	60	59	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.20	9	-25	34	15.3	14.2	1.12	16.8	14.9	1.91
Sergey Karasev	61	62	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-17	18	14.9	14.9	-0.01	16.5	15.4	1.06
Thaddeus Young	58	60	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.24	9	-25	34	14.8	14.9	-0.12	16.5	15.4	1.09
Thomas Robinson	34	34	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.15	-23	7	-30	14.1	15.3	-1.23	14.9	16.8	-1.91
Chris McCullough	30	29	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.09	-22	6	-28	15.6	14.5	1.03	15.6	16.3	-0.69
Markel Brown	32	32	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.09	-22	6	-28	14.5	15.0	-0.52	14.9	16.7	-1.77
Sean Kilpatrick	42	41	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	0.08	-23	7	-30	14.2	15.5	-1.28	15.2	16.8	-1.61
Shane Larkin	35	34	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	0.06	-25	9	-34	15.4	14.6	0.85	16.0	16.2	-0.15

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug McDermott	56	56	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.17	24	-8	32	15.8	16.5	-0.69	14.0	16.1	-2.10
Bobby Portis	54	55	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.14	22	-6	28	16.0	16.2	-0.23	14.0	16.1	-2.04
Cristiano Felicio	40	42	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.10	20	-4	24	14.4	17.4	-2.93	14.4	15.3	-0.89
Jimmy Butler	61	60	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.13	8	8	0	16.9	14.5	2.39	14.9	14.8	0.18
Aaron Brooks	32	34	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.09	13	3	10	14.6	16.9	-2.24	13.9	15.4	-1.51
Justin Holiday	32	33	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.10	8	8	0	14.5	16.9	-2.39	14.8	14.9	-0.18
E'Twaun Moore	4	5	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	10	-4	16.5	16.1	0.42	15.4	14.8	0.56
Derrick Rose	57	54	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.19	-3	19	-22	16.9	14.8	2.06	15.4	14.1	1.32
Taj Gibson	52	50	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.12	-4	20	-24	17.3	14.6	2.75	15.6	14.0	1.53
Nikola Mirotic	39	38	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.17	-6	22	-28	16.2	16.0	0.23	16.1	14.0	2.04
Mike Dunleavy	38	38	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.20	-8	24	-32	16.6	15.7	0.86	15.7	14.3	1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 81, PHX 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.81,0.89,0.83,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
MIL 74, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%
UTA 102, LAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.91,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,1,1,1	94.2%