NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	112		Excitement	7.6 [120]		MVP	De'Andre Hunter (ATL): +27.6%
Atlanta Hawks	124		Comeback	2.6 [253]		LVP	Dejounte Murray (NOP): -28.9%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yves Missi	0.18	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.08	-0.02	14	72%	0.28	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.05
CJ McCollum	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.01	26	52%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Brandon Boston Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	15	59%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	6	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.02	9	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Trey Murphy III	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	12	56%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Elfrid Payton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	-0.29	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.22,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.21	-0.12	-0.04	15	22%	-0.18	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.14	0.12	-0.01	14	73%	0.30	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	5	80%	0.18	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	6	69%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Kobe Bufkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	91%	0.14	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.01	16	56%	0.09	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Zaccharie Risacher	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.06	-0.00	11	50%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	0.03	14	68%	0.09	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	10	35%	-0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Trae Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.05	-0.00	16	37%	-0.05	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.0	30.1	14.4	29.2	2.4	24.7	130.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +31.6%

ATL +9.0%

ATL +7.0%

ATL +3.1%

NOP -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	ATL	NBA	NOP	ATL	NBA
this game	15.3	11.8	14.3	104.7	118.1	111.9
season	14.9	13.2		106.2	110.2
opponent	14.3	14.0		113.1	117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.6	13.8	15.6	16.5	15.3
ATL	11.7	12.4	10.3	13.0	11.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elfrid Payton	14	14	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-15	18	13.4	15.6	-2.16	13.7	11.5	2.18
Javonte Green	57	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-6	0	15.5	15.1	0.39	12.3	11.3	1.05
Daniel Theis	26	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-9	6	17.1	14.7	2.34	10.9	12.1	-1.19
CJ McCollum	81	77	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-5	-2	14.8	16.9	-2.08	11.7	12.2	-0.48
Brandon Boston Jr.	64	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-11	10	15.6	14.9	0.67	11.7	12.1	-0.44
Yves Missi	81	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	-3	-6	14.7	17.1	-2.34	12.3	10.5	1.77
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	47	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-5	-2	15.6	15.1	0.44	11.4	12.2	-0.83
Dejounte Murray	85	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	3	-18	15.3	15.4	-0.13	11.6	12.8	-1.25
Trey Murphy III	80	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.13	-15	3	-18	15.7	14.2	1.50	11.8	11.9	-0.07

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trae Young	77	79	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.01	20	-8	28	11.8	12.0	-0.19	15.7	14.2	1.43
Dyson Daniels	75	76	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	-6	24	11.8	12.0	-0.19	15.8	14.1	1.75
De'Andre Hunter	61	61	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	3	6	11.0	13.0	-1.94	16.1	14.2	1.95
Onyeka Okongwu	44	45	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	8	-4	11.0	12.4	-1.47	15.3	15.3	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	54	56	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	5	2	12.3	11.3	0.96	15.4	15.2	0.14
Clint Capela	61	62	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	4	4	12.4	11.0	1.47	15.3	15.3	-0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	54	55	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.28	-3	15	-18	12.0	11.7	0.28	14.8	15.8	-1.05
Jalen Johnson	71	73	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.04	5	7	-2	12.1	11.2	0.92	14.4	17.2	-2.82
Kobe Bufkin	28	28	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.13	-8	20	-28	12.0	11.8	0.19	14.2	15.7	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.45,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.62,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.95,0.87,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 118, ATL 122	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.86,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	92.8%
MIL 86, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.98,1,1	92.7%
ATL 102, CHA 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.48,0.62,0.81,0.87,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	92.7%