NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	118		Excitement	6.4 [533]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +25.4%
Atlanta Hawks	122		Comeback	2.4 [679]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (IND): -23.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.25	0.23	0.08	0.05	22	64%	0.25	0	0.00	11	64%	-0.05
Troy Murphy	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.03	11	81%	0.18	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Rush	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Graham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.04	13	46%	-0.04	0	0.00	9	89%	0.01
T.J. Ford	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	9	60%	0.02	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.06	-0.10	0.07	17	50%	-0.08	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.07	0.00	15	73%	0.23	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.03
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.06	-0.02	2	87%	0.12	1	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.02	12	71%	0.17	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	14	54%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.04	19	56%	0.13	3	-0.10	16	62%	-0.04
Thomas Gardner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Mario West	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.0	1.8	28.8	15.8	26.1	2.5	39.2	145.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +17.5%

ATL +17.4%

ATL +2.1%

ATL +6.8%

ATL +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	13.2	15.5	15.5	116.8	122.0	106.4
season	14.1	15.8		106.5	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.3		106.0	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.8	11.8	14.2	12.9	13.2
ATL	14.4	14.4	15.9	17.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Graham	24	23	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-5	6	12.9	13.2	-0.37	14.4	15.8	-1.45
Roy Hibbert	57	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	1	-6	13.2	13.0	0.20	15.2	15.9	-0.75
Brandon Rush	75	74	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-6	8	12.9	13.8	-0.93	16.0	14.1	1.88
Jeff Foster	42	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-1	-2	13.1	13.2	-0.07	15.0	15.9	-0.95
T.J. Ford	64	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-4	4	12.2	14.8	-2.52	15.3	15.9	-0.53
Jarrett Jack	85	84	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-1	-2	13.4	11.9	1.53	15.4	16.1	-0.73
Troy Murphy	81	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	0	-4	13.3	12.5	0.76	15.6	15.1	0.45
Danny Granger	77	76	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.37	-8	4	-12	13.8	11.2	2.61	16.1	13.6	2.54

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	77	79	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.37	10	-6	16	15.8	14.7	1.06	13.2	13.0	0.26
Al Horford	86	88	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.29	10	-6	16	15.8	13.8	2.00	13.3	12.4	0.89
Joe Johnson	76	76	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.32	9	-5	14	16.1	13.6	2.48	13.6	11.9	1.65
Mike Bibby	96	95	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.25	9	-5	14	15.2	21.7	-6.50	13.1	14.3	-1.25
Ronald Murray	70	70	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.35	1	3	-2	15.5	15.6	-0.08	12.5	14.6	-2.05
Thomas Gardner	3	3	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	2	0	14.7	15.5	-0.87	11.0	13.2	-2.22
Marvin Williams	25	26	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	5	-6	15.0	15.7	-0.68	13.7	13.0	0.72
Solomon Jones	23	22	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.12	-3	7	-10	15.2	15.6	-0.44	11.9	13.5	-1.60
Zaza Pachulia	15	14	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.09	-9	13	-22	14.3	15.7	-1.46	14.1	13.0	1.14
Mario West	29	32	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.04	-8	12	-20	14.8	15.8	-0.96	13.5	13.0	0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.86,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 107, DAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.56,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.7%
HOU 86, CHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.66,0.77,0.71,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
PHI 87, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	93.6%