NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	111		Excitement	3.6 [1095]		MVP	KJ Martin (PHI): +13.8%
Detroit Pistons	96		Comeback	1.0 [669]		LVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (DET): -9.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
KJ Martin	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.16	0.01	0.03	8	90%	0.14	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Ricky Council IV	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.02	0.05	7	81%	0.12	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.00	-0.03	24	56%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.03	11	64%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adem Bona	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	2	57%	0.03	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.02
Lester Quinones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	1	0%	0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Edwards	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	12	41%	0.01	3	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jared McCain	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	44%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.17	0.00	0.06	9	90%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	100%	-0.00
Ausar Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	5	82%	0.07	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	5	58%	0.03	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Wendell Moore Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	9	52%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	16	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	11	55%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	3	33%	-0.00	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	0.00	-0.09	12	27%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	8	21%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.3	24.5	15.3	27.7	2.6	31.3	131.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +38.7%

PHI +3.3%

PHI +6.9%

PHI +2.5%

DET -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	15.3	13.7	14.4	112.1	96.0	113.0
season	15.0	14.1		110.4	113.7
opponent	14.5	14.2		111.9	116.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.1	18.0	14.7	13.8	15.3
DET	13.2	14.1	16.7	11.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	52	52	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.22	30	-15	45	15.2	15.3	-0.05	15.9	11.3	4.55
Kelly Oubre Jr.	63	60	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.24	26	-11	37	15.6	14.6	1.01	14.8	12.1	2.67
Tyrese Maxey	69	67	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.24	25	-10	35	16.0	13.6	2.32	14.7	11.7	3.03
Guerschon Yabusele	49	50	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.05	14	1	13	15.9	14.7	1.20	14.4	13.0	1.32
KJ Martin	55	56	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.13	7	8	-1	15.3	15.2	0.09	13.3	14.2	-0.86
Adem Bona	40	41	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	6	3	14.6	15.7	-1.09	13.9	13.6	0.30
Ricky Council IV	75	76	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	18	-21	15.2	15.3	-0.05	12.8	16.5	-3.68
Andre Drummond	7	7	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.06	4	11	-7	17.0	15.1	1.88	15.4	13.6	1.86
Eric Gordon	22	24	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	19	-23	14.2	15.6	-1.38	13.2	13.9	-0.65
Lester Quinones	9	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	21	-27	13.3	15.4	-2.11	8.8	14.2	-5.44
Justin Edwards	9	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	21	-27	13.3	15.4	-2.11	8.8	14.2	-5.44
Jared McCain	64	65	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.15	-7	22	-29	14.9	15.9	-0.98	12.5	15.9	-3.45

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Sasser	55	56	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-16	17	13.1	14.4	-1.23	14.6	16.0	-1.40
Paul Reed	36	35	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-23	31	10.6	15.4	-4.83	14.3	15.8	-1.50
Isaiah Stewart	28	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-15	15	14.8	13.3	1.56	15.7	15.1	0.67
Ronald Holland II	50	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.24	7	-22	29	11.8	15.6	-3.88	14.7	15.8	-1.12
Ausar Thompson	27	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-11	7	14.3	13.5	0.87	15.1	15.3	-0.25
Simone Fontecchio	54	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.29	7	-22	29	11.6	16.1	-4.46	15.0	15.6	-0.58
Wendell Moore Jr.	36	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-14	13	10.9	15.3	-4.39	14.3	15.8	-1.57
Malik Beasley	50	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-5	-5	15.8	11.6	4.20	16.1	14.4	1.70
Jaden Ivey	54	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.13	-16	1	-17	14.8	12.4	2.46	16.3	14.2	2.08
Tobias Harris	43	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.20	-22	7	-29	16.5	11.6	4.89	15.6	15.0	0.55
Tim Hardaway Jr.	42	40	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.00	-18	3	-21	15.0	12.7	2.32	15.7	14.9	0.79
Jalen Duren	25	24	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.24	-27	12	-39	16.1	12.9	3.17	15.7	15.1	0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.24,0.28,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 118, NOP 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.23,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
MEM 140, LAC 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
BKN 114, CHA 87	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%