NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	118		Excitement	3.4 [1142]		MVP	Kevin Durant (GSW): +17.3%
New Orleans Pelicans	92		Comeback	1.0 [1113]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (NOP): -10.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.02	27	63%	0.19	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Quinn Cook	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	63%	0.07	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Stephen Curry	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.00	0.04	17	62%	0.07	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	13	46%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	5	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Nick Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Bell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	9	44%	0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	14	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	16	53%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	14	35%	-0.02	2	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	22	48%	0.05	6	-0.09	10	100%	0.03
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	7	37%	-0.02	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.17	-0.02	-0.08	10	25%	-0.03	4	-0.08	4	25%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.8	31.0	15.4	27.9	2.8	28.4	136.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +49.1%

NOP -7.1%

NOP -8.0%

GSW +17.4%

NOP -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NOP	NBA	GSW	NOP	NBA
this game	13.9	12.8	14.7	109.3	85.2	107.5
season	13.7	13.6		112.6	108.0
opponent	14.6	15.1		107.0	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.7	15.4	13.4	13.1	13.9
NOP	14.5	12.3	13.8	10.9	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	84	84	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.28	28	-2	30	13.7	14.4	-0.73	13.0	12.2	0.78
Klay Thompson	81	82	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.17	23	3	20	13.9	13.7	0.25	13.2	11.5	1.68
Kevin Durant	81	81	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.21	23	3	20	13.6	14.6	-1.04	13.0	12.1	0.89
Stephen Curry	72	73	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.21	21	5	16	13.5	14.5	-0.97	12.9	12.6	0.28
Andre Iguodala	65	63	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.23	21	5	16	14.6	12.8	1.76	13.3	12.1	1.24
Shaun Livingston	25	26	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	23	-20	15.5	13.3	2.17	12.3	13.0	-0.67
Quinn Cook	39	39	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	21	-16	13.8	13.9	-0.05	12.5	13.0	-0.51
Kevon Looney	46	47	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	28	-30	15.0	13.0	1.96	11.1	14.1	-2.95
Zaza Pachulia	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	23	-20	11.8	14.0	-2.26	12.5	12.8	-0.34
JaVale McGee	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	23	-20	12.4	14.0	-1.60	12.1	12.9	-0.72
Jordan Bell	11	11	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	23	-20	11.2	14.2	-2.97	13.3	12.8	0.51
Nick Young	11	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.09	3	23	-20	10.5	14.2	-3.68	11.8	12.9	-1.11
David West	8	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.08	-4	30	-34	15.2	13.7	1.51	14.4	12.7	1.68

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Liggins	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-23	20	12.8	12.8	-0.02	11.2	14.1	-2.92
Cheick Diallo	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-22	18	12.8	12.8	-0.02	10.4	14.2	-3.88
Darius Miller	32	32	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.05	-2	-24	22	13.3	12.6	0.75	14.2	13.7	0.43
Solomon Hill	28	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-23	20	13.4	12.6	0.78	13.0	14.1	-1.15
Ian Clark	56	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.12	-11	-15	4	12.5	13.1	-0.62	13.7	14.1	-0.40
Nikola Mirotic	72	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.10	-16	-10	-6	12.8	12.8	-0.03	14.0	13.5	0.50
Rajon Rondo	71	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.18	-20	-6	-14	13.2	12.2	0.99	14.1	13.3	0.83
E'Twaun Moore	81	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.18	-21	-5	-16	12.7	13.3	-0.59	14.2	12.6	1.63
Jrue Holiday	89	89	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.24	-25	-1	-24	12.7	13.6	-0.93	13.9	13.5	0.40
Anthony Davis	91	89	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.20	-25	-1	-24	12.7	13.6	-0.92	14.1	12.8	1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.23,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 114, CHA 87	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
UTA 115, MIN 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
DAL 108, MEM 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.24,0.19,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%