NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	135		Excitement	8.1 [98]		MVP	De'Andre Hunter (ATL): +27.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	124		Comeback	4.0 [16]		LVP	Georges Niang (CLE): -11.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.15	0.15	0.02	16	72%	0.36	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Zaccharie Risacher	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.05	0.02	10	77%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.02	8	77%	0.15	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Jalen Johnson	0.13	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.06	0.01	16	65%	0.19	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Dyson Daniels	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	11	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kobe Bufkin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	71%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03	-0.07	0.04	-0.07	18	49%	0.13	5	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Clint Capela	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.02	0.01	7	81%	0.16	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	24	54%	0.19	3	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
Evan Mobley	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.00	15	55%	0.11	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.06
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.02	8	62%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.02	0.01	14	61%	0.10	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylon Tyson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	-0.04	8	50%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	2.4	25.7	14.5	29.3	1.8	34.4	138.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +44.0%

ATL +1.8%

CLE -2.2%

ATL +1.8%

ATL +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CLE	NBA	ATL	CLE	NBA
this game	13.6	13.5	14.3	128.6	115.9	111.9
season	13.2	13.7		110.2	120.1
opponent	14.7	14.3		109.1	113.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.4	13.3	12.9	14.8	13.6
CLE	12.8	14.4	14.8	12.4	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dyson Daniels	78	78	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.44	5	6	-1	13.4	14.2	-0.75	14.0	12.4	1.55
Trae Young	80	81	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	6	-1	13.4	14.4	-1.01	14.0	12.2	1.73
Clint Capela	41	40	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	8	-5	13.8	13.5	0.29	14.8	12.8	2.01
De'Andre Hunter	65	69	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	0	11	13.4	14.1	-0.72	13.3	14.0	-0.67
Jalen Johnson	77	79	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	1	9	14.0	12.7	1.25	12.7	16.0	-3.38
Zaccharie Risacher	38	38	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	10	-9	13.7	13.6	0.09	14.7	12.9	1.77
Onyeka Okongwu	64	67	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.12	8	3	5	13.5	13.8	-0.29	12.8	14.8	-2.01
Kobe Bufkin	25	26	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.16	6	5	1	14.4	13.4	1.01	12.2	14.0	-1.73
Bogdan Bogdanovic	57	57	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.16	6	5	1	13.7	13.5	0.20	13.7	13.3	0.38

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Merrill	38	39	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.32	-8	-3	-5	12.7	14.0	-1.25	13.6	13.7	-0.10
Craig Porter Jr.	15	16	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.03	4	-15	19	13.7	13.5	0.14	15.5	13.3	2.21
Georges Niang	47	47	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.13	-2	-9	7	13.3	13.7	-0.47	13.5	13.8	-0.29
Jaylon Tyson	22	21	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.14	-3	-8	5	15.0	13.2	1.84	15.0	13.3	1.77
Evan Mobley	83	81	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.21	0	-11	11	12.9	15.9	-3.01	14.1	12.0	2.17
Donovan Mitchell	83	81	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.22	0	-11	11	12.9	15.9	-3.01	14.1	12.0	2.17
Ty Jerome	56	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	6	-23	12.9	14.3	-1.36	12.3	15.1	-2.78
Isaac Okoro	49	46	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-8	5	15.1	12.2	2.84	14.1	13.3	0.78
Darius Garland	72	71	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.34	-14	3	-17	14.0	12.5	1.53	13.1	14.8	-1.68
Jarrett Allen	70	69	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.40	-12	1	-13	14.2	12.3	1.90	13.1	14.7	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.32,0.38,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.53,0.29,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 107, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.17,0.31,0.05,0.03,0.02,0	91.9%
PHX 95, LAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.53,0.31,0.15,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0	91.5%
GSW 117, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.66,0.74,0.59,0.62,0.73,0.47,0.3,0.18,0.15,0,0,0,0	90.2%