NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	103		Excitement	6.6 [212]		MVP	Obi Toppin (IND): +19.0%
Indiana Pacers	115		Comeback	1.4 [420]		LVP	Kyle Kuzma (WAS): -11.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bilal Coulibaly	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.01	9	65%	0.16	1	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Kyshawn George	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	8	68%	0.13	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Anthony Gill	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Corey Kispert	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	-0.02	-0.06	14	54%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Malcolm Brogdon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	13	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Alexandre Sarr	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	15	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Jared Butler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlton Carrington	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	7	36%	-0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	10	50%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.09	0.00	6	92%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.07	0.03	14	65%	0.16	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.04
Moses Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.05	0.04	8	71%	0.12	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.00	10	60%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	18	55%	0.16	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Furphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	125%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	12	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Quenton Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.4	29.5	14.5	28.0	2.6	25.2	130.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +25.1%

WAS -4.4%

IND +14.4%

IND +14.9%

WAS -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	14.1	14.7	14.3	104.0	113.9	112.0
season	13.8	13.8		105.0	112.8
opponent	14.6	13.9		115.0	117.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.6	14.8	14.5	13.4	14.1
IND	14.6	15.2	13.7	15.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Valanciunas	36	35	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-16	20	14.1	14.1	0.08	14.4	14.9	-0.46
Jared Butler	10	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-13	14	17.1	13.8	3.35	15.7	14.6	1.06
Anthony Gill	13	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-10	8	15.2	13.9	1.31	12.6	15.0	-2.41
Malcolm Brogdon	51	54	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-4	-4	13.6	14.6	-1.04	15.5	13.8	1.71
Kyshawn George	59	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-10	8	13.2	15.3	-2.11	16.0	12.7	3.32
Carlton Carrington	49	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-7	2	14.8	13.4	1.44	12.7	16.5	-3.80
Corey Kispert	77	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.26	-4	-8	4	14.3	13.4	0.88	14.0	16.6	-2.58
Bilal Coulibaly	78	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.10	-11	-1	-10	13.6	16.0	-2.36	15.0	13.3	1.71
Alexandre Sarr	62	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.09	-13	1	-14	14.2	13.9	0.36	14.8	14.4	0.40
Kyle Kuzma	60	64	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.02	-20	8	-28	14.2	13.8	0.40	14.9	14.3	0.60

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	70	67	0.68	-0.18	0.85	-0.06	25	-13	38	14.5	15.1	-0.52	14.2	13.9	0.23
Bennedict Mathurin	82	80	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.03	20	-8	28	14.8	14.2	0.67	14.2	13.7	0.50
Tyrese Haliburton	72	71	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	0	12	14.7	14.6	0.16	13.9	14.5	-0.57
Myles Turner	60	59	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	3	6	15.3	13.8	1.47	14.0	14.2	-0.14
Moses Brown	28	27	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	7	-2	14.7	14.7	0.02	14.1	14.1	-0.02
Quenton Jackson	43	43	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	3	6	15.3	14.3	0.96	14.6	13.7	0.87
Johnny Furphy	24	23	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	10	-8	13.6	15.0	-1.41	15.3	13.7	1.58
Jarace Walker	43	43	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.14	-2	14	-16	14.4	14.9	-0.58	13.5	14.5	-0.98
T.J. McConnell	48	47	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.30	-13	25	-38	14.9	14.5	0.37	13.6	14.5	-0.94
Obi Toppin	35	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	19	-26	13.8	15.2	-1.38	14.1	14.1	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.86,0.98,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 99, IND 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%
MEM 82, SEA 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.82,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.96,1,1,1	94.1%
HOU 81, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.75,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.96,1,1,1,1	94.0%