NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	99		Excitement	5.7 [716]		MVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): +20.5%
Indiana Pacers	116		Comeback	1.2 [1013]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -6.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	9	60%	0.07	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Erick Strickland	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	4	62%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	77%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Marcus Fizer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	8	65%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Kendall Gill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eddie House	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.00	9	44%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	18	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Zendon Hamilton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Desmond Mason	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	15	58%	0.04	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.06	-0.01	28	68%	0.28	3	-0.07	25	76%	0.04
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	70%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.03	-0.04	9	38%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	2	71%	-0.02	1	-0.02	10	80%	-0.02
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	4	60%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	12	44%	0.01	2	-0.07	8	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	35.4	15.7	29.2	2.4	37.6	149.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +11.0%

IND +16.5%

IND +20.1%

IND +0.5%

IND +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	IND	NBA	MIL	IND	NBA
this game	15.0	17.0	15.5	110.0	128.9	104.0
season	16.0	16.8		104.4	101.9
opponent	15.5	15.0		101.6	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.9	15.2	16.0	13.8	15.0
IND	14.5	17.5	18.3	18.3	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	32	30	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-22	27	14.0	15.5	-1.48	17.0	17.0	-0.02
Mike James	50	47	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-19	21	14.1	16.0	-1.83	18.1	15.9	2.13
Eddie House	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-15	13	9.7	15.1	-5.47	17.0	17.0	-0.05
Kendall Gill	25	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-17	17	13.5	15.5	-2.04	18.2	16.6	1.53
Dan Gadzuric	5	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-15	13	16.0	14.9	1.11	15.8	17.1	-1.30
Zendon Hamilton	25	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-19	21	14.6	15.1	-0.55	17.4	16.9	0.45
Marcus Fizer	48	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.05	-2	-15	13	14.7	15.2	-0.44	17.5	16.6	0.93
Zaza Pachulia	50	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-4	-9	15.2	14.6	0.60	17.2	16.8	0.44
Desmond Mason	65	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.02	-17	0	-17	15.5	13.5	2.04	16.6	18.2	-1.53
Mo Williams	40	43	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.03	-19	2	-21	16.0	14.1	1.83	15.9	18.1	-2.13
Joe Smith	46	49	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.05	-20	3	-23	15.7	14.2	1.42	16.7	17.4	-0.68
Michael Redd	61	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.02	-19	2	-21	15.2	14.4	0.80	16.8	17.6	-0.82

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	65	63	0.82	-0.32	1.14	-0.09	31	-14	45	16.9	17.5	-0.60	15.3	14.1	1.15
Jeff Foster	54	53	0.74	-0.24	0.98	-0.08	28	-11	39	16.8	17.5	-0.71	15.6	14.1	1.48
Jermaine O'Neal	65	66	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.07	22	-5	27	17.2	16.6	0.56	15.6	13.1	2.50
Jamaal Tinsley	52	53	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.08	19	-2	21	17.3	16.7	0.58	16.0	13.5	2.54
Michael Curry	45	43	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	11	-5	16.5	17.6	-1.16	15.0	14.9	0.17
Fred Jones	53	54	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	15	-13	17.5	16.4	1.13	14.7	15.4	-0.72
John Edwards	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	17.0	17.0	-0.05	8.7	15.2	-6.49
James Jones	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	17.0	17.0	-0.05	8.7	15.2	-6.49
Eddie Gill	5	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	18	-19	14.2	17.2	-3.01	10.0	15.2	-5.25
David Harrison	31	33	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.17	-11	28	-39	18.0	16.5	1.46	14.5	15.2	-0.79
Austin Croshere	25	23	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.09	-4	21	-25	16.6	17.2	-0.56	13.4	15.5	-2.04
Anthony Johnson	47	49	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.01	-9	26	-35	17.0	17.0	-0.00	14.6	15.3	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 108, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.77,0.77,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.94,0.96,1	94.1%
HOU 81, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.75,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.96,1,1,1,1	94.0%
MEM 82, SEA 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.82,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.96,1,1,1	93.9%