NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	104		Excitement	9.9 [25]		MVP	Anfernee Simons (POR): +43.2%
Houston Rockets	98		Comeback	2.6 [44]		LVP	Fred VanVleet (HOU): -20.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0.43	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,0.02,0,-0.08,0,0.13,0.43	0.04	0.40	0.01	20	61%	0.60	4	-0.17	1	100%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.07	0.09	0.01	18	57%	0.25	2	-0.11	6	100%	0.07
Deni Avdija	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08	0.02	0.07	0.00	8	64%	0.19	3	-0.11	6	67%	0.04
Kris Murray	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.12	-0.11	-0.01	12	73%	0.14	2	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Duop Reath	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.03	0.00	9	35%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Rayan Rupert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Clingan	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	4	0%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19,-0.19	-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	10	23%	-0.15	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.20

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.09	0.25	0.00	11	73%	0.40	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.03	0.19	-0.00	11	54%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.11
Reed Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0,0,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	17	49%	0.04	2	-0.07	11	73%	0.01
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.07	-0.01	10	54%	-0.00	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Tari Eason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	22%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jalen Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	14	31%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	13	31%	-0.15	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.7	1.0	31.9	13.6	26.6	2.5	39.2	148.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +88.9%

HOU -23.3%

POR +23.5%

HOU -38.7%

HOU -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	HOU	NBA	POR	HOU	NBA
this game	14.3	14.8	14.3	104.0	100.0	111.9
season	14.3	14.5		107.3	111.3
opponent	14.2	14.3		105.1	115.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.8	15.4	14.5	13.6	14.3
HOU	15.1	14.6	14.3	15.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaedon Sharpe	74	71	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.36	8	-2	10	14.7	13.1	1.60	14.7	15.0	-0.23
Anfernee Simons	78	80	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.21	8	-2	10	13.9	15.8	-1.95	15.1	13.4	1.72
Jerami Grant	74	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	1	4	13.6	16.3	-2.66	14.1	16.6	-2.43
Deni Avdija	70	69	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	8	-10	14.0	14.9	-0.90	14.6	15.3	-0.68
Dalano Banton	41	40	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	0	6	14.9	13.9	0.98	16.6	13.6	3.01
Kris Murray	25	26	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	2	2	15.8	13.8	2.00	16.8	14.1	2.74
Duop Reath	8	9	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	1	4	15.4	14.2	1.17	16.1	14.7	1.45
Toumani Camara	64	59	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.24	-4	10	-14	13.6	15.6	-2.05	14.3	15.6	-1.28
Donovan Clingan	55	55	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	3	0	14.8	13.7	1.03	13.7	16.2	-2.44
Rayan Rupert	11	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	9	-12	16.5	14.0	2.52	14.2	14.9	-0.66

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jock Landale	22	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-3	0	16.2	14.4	1.79	15.0	14.1	0.85
Dillon Brooks	68	70	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-6	6	13.6	17.5	-3.90	13.7	15.6	-1.86
Reed Sheppard	21	22	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-1	-4	17.1	14.2	2.93	14.5	14.2	0.26
Jabari Smith Jr.	78	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-4	2	14.2	16.9	-2.71	14.2	14.8	-0.66
Tari Eason	38	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-4	2	16.0	14.0	1.97	14.8	14.0	0.90
Jalen Green	60	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	2	-10	15.5	13.7	1.73	14.3	14.2	0.11
Alperen Sengun	75	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-3	0	14.3	16.4	-2.08	14.1	15.0	-0.85
Amen Thompson	71	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-3	0	15.2	13.7	1.46	14.2	14.4	-0.17
Fred VanVleet	57	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.30	-4	-2	-2	14.2	15.6	-1.36	14.7	13.6	1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.57,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.19,0.41,0.29,0.13,0.25,0.63,0.34,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 92, MIN 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.15,0.08,0.15,0.09,0.19,0.45,0.32,0.42,0	91.7%
MIN 119, OKC 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.56,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.27,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.69,0	90.9%
DAL 106, OKC 103	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.34,0.19,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.39,0.49,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.46,0.32,0.14,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.58,0	90.6%