NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	142		Excitement	5.3 [298]		MVP	Scotty Pippen Jr. (MEM): +28.9%
Chicago Bulls	131		Comeback	1.0 [404]		LVP	Jake LaRavia (MEM): -8.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.21	0.06	-0.02	16	91%	0.34	4	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Jaylen Wells	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.26	0.01	0.10	14	93%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jay Huff	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.02	0.04	6	100%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Clarke	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.02	0.03	6	92%	0.11	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	15	61%	0.10	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.00
Luke Kennard	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Spencer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	10	45%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Desmond Bane	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	14	38%	-0.06	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03
Jake LaRavia	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.18	0.01	0.07	19	66%	0.14	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Josh Giddey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.02	0.05	14	76%	0.13	5	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	13	52%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	7	62%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Chris Duarte	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E.J. Liddell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	11	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	31.6	15.3	26.5	1.8	27.2	127.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +48.4%

CHI -9.2%

MEM +9.2%

CHI -1.9%

MEM +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHI	NBA	MEM	CHI	NBA
this game	14.1	13.8	14.3	137.9	126.0	112.0
season	13.1	13.1		116.2	111.5
opponent	14.3	14.0		115.6	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.2	13.8	12.0	16.6	14.1
CHI	13.5	14.4	13.7	13.4	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Wells	67	68	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	1	9	14.2	13.8	0.46	13.8	13.6	0.21
Brandon Clarke	50	52	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.10	9	2	7	14.5	13.6	0.90	14.3	13.2	1.04
Santi Aldama	53	52	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.01	12	-1	13	13.5	14.7	-1.29	13.3	14.2	-0.85
Jaren Jackson Jr.	51	54	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	7	-3	15.0	13.2	1.79	14.5	12.9	1.60
Cam Spencer	26	26	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	1	9	14.1	14.1	0.05	13.3	13.9	-0.54
Desmond Bane	63	63	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	6	-1	14.4	13.5	0.90	14.3	12.9	1.44
Jay Huff	45	43	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	6	-1	13.1	14.9	-1.80	13.0	14.2	-1.20
Luke Kennard	55	54	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.16	2	9	-7	13.3	15.0	-1.73	13.0	14.5	-1.52
Scotty Pippen Jr.	66	68	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.23	-4	15	-19	14.5	13.2	1.30	13.5	14.3	-0.85
Jake LaRavia	39	40	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	9	-7	13.8	14.2	-0.46	14.1	13.5	0.53

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jevon Carter	9	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-20	29	10.4	14.1	-3.62	21.5	13.5	8.05
Chris Duarte	9	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-20	29	10.4	14.1	-3.62	21.5	13.5	8.05
E.J. Liddell	9	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-20	29	10.4	14.1	-3.62	21.5	13.5	8.05
Coby White	65	66	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.09	-5	-6	1	14.3	12.8	1.49	13.1	15.9	-2.79
Matas Buzelis	64	62	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.39	10	-21	31	13.0	14.9	-1.95	14.3	13.8	0.53
Josh Giddey	47	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-7	3	14.2	13.4	0.77	14.0	14.1	-0.10
Jalen Smith	34	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-3	-5	14.1	13.6	0.50	13.9	14.2	-0.25
Talen Horton-Tucker	38	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.28	3	-14	17	13.7	13.8	-0.06	14.9	13.6	1.33
Torrey Craig	17	18	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.22	-15	4	-19	16.1	13.3	2.83	14.1	14.1	-0.03
Dalen Terry	28	29	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.06	-8	-3	-5	13.2	14.0	-0.78	13.0	14.5	-1.45
Nikola Vucevic	61	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	1	-13	14.0	13.3	0.72	13.2	15.4	-2.16
Zach LaVine	74	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.13	-18	7	-25	14.1	12.9	1.15	13.4	15.7	-2.24
Ayo Dosunmu	65	65	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	0.14	-25	14	-39	13.8	13.6	0.17	13.8	14.5	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 94, HOU 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.7%
ATL 91, DET 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.3%
CHI 105, OKC 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.23,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.4,0.31,0.21,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0,0.01,0	95.0%