NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	114		Excitement	9.9 [23]		MVP	LaMelo Ball (CHA): +39.3%
Charlotte Hornets	115		Comeback	3.7 [70]		LVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): -21.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Connaughton	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,0.31	0.04	0.26	-0.01	8	62%	0.34	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0.26	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.16	0.11	0.01	14	79%	0.31	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.09	-0.02	15	60%	0.21	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Andre Jackson Jr.	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.06	0.02	6	100%	0.27	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent Jr.	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	10	32%	-0.17	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.21	0.00	-0.20	0.02	22	49%	-0.15	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.18,0.39	0.39	0.03	0.36	-0.00	20	51%	0.45	2	-0.05	11	100%	0.21
Tre Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.14	-0.01	8	69%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.13	0.01	15	59%	0.22	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Josh Green	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.00	0.03	8	83%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Moussa Diabate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	86%	0.14	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tidjane Salaun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	8	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Brandon Miller	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	17	38%	-0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.8	28.2	14.8	25.2	2.3	35.5	134.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -40.8%

CHA +54.1%

CHA +35.1%

CHA +1.4%

CHA +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHA	NBA	MIL	CHA	NBA
this game	15.2	14.5	14.4	118.8	117.3	112.0
season	14.6	14.9		113.0	108.6
opponent	14.4	14.2		112.6	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.3	14.5	17.5	14.8	15.2
CHA	14.0	14.9	13.2	15.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	63	64	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.09	1	-2	3	15.3	15.2	0.12	13.6	16.1	-2.52
Gary Trent Jr.	36	35	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	0	-1	15.9	14.8	1.01	15.3	14.0	1.36
Bobby Portis	45	48	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-6	11	15.4	15.1	0.28	15.8	13.2	2.55
Pat Connaughton	41	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	2	-5	15.8	14.8	1.05	14.2	14.6	-0.39
AJ Green	24	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	3	-7	17.2	14.6	2.64	15.5	14.1	1.31
Taurean Prince	71	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.48	7	-8	15	14.4	17.6	-3.15	14.3	15.0	-0.75
Delon Wright	64	67	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.58	0	-1	1	15.2	15.2	-0.03	14.9	13.6	1.25
Giannis Antetokounmpo	69	69	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.57	-2	1	-3	15.0	15.9	-0.97	13.9	15.9	-2.03
Andre Jackson Jr.	67	67	-0.93	0.43	-1.37	-0.70	-8	7	-15	14.8	16.1	-1.30	14.1	15.2	-1.11

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Williams	66	64	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.58	9	-8	17	13.5	16.6	-3.11	14.7	16.4	-1.72
Miles Bridges	58	55	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.48	4	-3	7	14.2	14.8	-0.56	15.4	15.0	0.40
LaMelo Ball	75	75	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-11	23	14.1	15.8	-1.77	15.2	15.2	0.05
Brandon Miller	71	69	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.53	-1	2	-3	13.6	16.7	-3.14	14.9	16.1	-1.23
Cody Martin	43	45	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	-3	7	15.2	13.9	1.24	16.3	14.3	1.99
Josh Green	61	58	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	3	-5	13.5	16.1	-2.63	15.2	15.3	-0.14
Seth Curry	12	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	0	1	14.2	14.5	-0.34	14.5	15.3	-0.87
Tre Mann	40	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.17	-7	8	-15	16.9	12.8	4.15	15.4	15.1	0.26
Moussa Diabate	46	46	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.10	-7	8	-15	16.2	13.0	3.21	15.2	15.3	-0.06
Tidjane Salaun	18	18	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	-0.07	-8	9	-17	16.2	14.1	2.08	15.8	15.1	0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.64,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.28,0.45,0.55,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 102, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.46,0.45,0.85,0.99,1	92.7%
SAS 80, LAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.43,0.34,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.51,0.57,0.46,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.85,0.84,1	92.3%
CHH 82, PHX 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.45,0.37,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.23,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.85,0.96,1	92.3%