NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	113		Excitement	8.3 [96]		MVP	Jordan Clarkson (UTA): +36.4%
Utah Jazz	115		Comeback	2.4 [78]		LVP	Jaden Hardy (DAL): -17.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Doncic	0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.17	0.15	0.02	25	65%	0.36	3	-0.06	7	100%	0.04
Klay Thompson	0.16	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.16	-0.01	0.19	0.01	17	50%	0.23	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dereck Lively II	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.12	0.00	2	83%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Daniel Gafford	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Quentin Grimes	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	-0.05	0.02	9	71%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Maxi Kleber	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Naji Marshall	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.09,-0.03	0.06	-0.09	-0.00	14	66%	0.04	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17	-0.03	-0.14	0.00	6	54%	-0.09	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.45,0.36	0.36	0.10	0.25	-0.01	16	57%	0.36	0	0.00	3	100%	0.04
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.17,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.17	0.03	20	60%	0.44	4	-0.24	7	100%	0.03
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	8	68%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Collin Sexton	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	12	67%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	70%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.04
Keyonte George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.07	-0.00	10	70%	0.10	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Cody Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Johnny Juzang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	30.6	14.5	26.4	1.7	29.0	129.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +36.2%

UTA +12.2%

UTA +27.5%

DAL -28.5%

UTA +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	UTA	NBA	DAL	UTA	NBA
this game	14.2	15.5	14.3	116.5	118.6	111.7
season	14.0	15.0		116.9	109.5
opponent	13.6	14.5		118.7	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	11.8	13.9	15.5	15.9	14.2
UTA	14.9	16.1	12.8	19.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dereck Lively II	34	36	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.27	11	-13	24	12.4	15.1	-2.65	17.1	14.6	2.43
Dwight Powell	27	27	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.15	6	-8	14	13.0	14.6	-1.56	13.8	16.2	-2.42
Spencer Dinwiddie	33	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-2	2	14.1	14.2	-0.07	14.1	16.3	-2.17
Klay Thompson	55	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.25	4	-6	10	14.5	13.7	0.84	16.3	14.6	1.67
Maxi Kleber	35	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	3	-8	14.7	13.8	0.90	16.4	15.0	1.37
Naji Marshall	66	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.39	6	-8	14	14.8	12.9	1.90	16.4	13.9	2.45
Quentin Grimes	75	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-5	8	13.7	15.9	-2.20	15.1	17.1	-2.06
Jaden Hardy	43	43	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.22	-8	6	-14	14.9	13.6	1.33	15.3	15.7	-0.40
Daniel Gafford	40	40	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.02	-19	17	-36	14.8	13.7	1.12	14.1	16.5	-2.43
Luka Doncic	77	78	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.37	-8	6	-14	14.0	14.7	-0.67	15.7	14.7	1.05

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Clarkson	60	59	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.40	3	-1	4	15.2	16.0	-0.77	14.8	13.2	1.57
Drew Eubanks	36	37	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.11	11	-9	20	13.1	17.0	-3.93	14.4	14.0	0.39
Isaiah Collier	38	38	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	-10	22	13.3	16.9	-3.59	14.2	14.2	-0.01
Lauri Markkanen	50	48	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.01	11	-9	20	16.5	14.5	2.05	14.6	13.7	0.91
Cody Williams	28	29	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	-9	20	17.0	14.9	2.07	15.7	13.5	2.22
John Collins	75	75	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.41	-4	6	-10	14.8	18.1	-3.32	13.5	16.4	-2.84
Collin Sexton	62	61	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.50	-10	12	-22	17.0	12.9	4.04	14.4	13.8	0.57
Keyonte George	66	66	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.41	-9	11	-20	14.8	17.1	-2.31	13.3	16.0	-2.74
Kyle Filipowski	58	58	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.37	-11	13	-24	17.2	13.0	4.18	14.0	14.4	-0.41
Johnny Juzang	12	14	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	6	-10	16.8	15.3	1.49	13.5	14.3	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.69,0.83,0.57,0.69,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 107, MIA 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.71,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.84,0.88,0.97,0.84,0.59,0.73,1	92.3%
NOH 90, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.97,1	90.5%
MIA 82, BOS 85	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.73,1	90.4%