NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	123		Excitement	8.0 [266]		MVP	Dalton Knecht (LAL): +28.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	128		Comeback	4.4 [480]		LVP	Gabe Vincent (LAL): -10.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.01	-0.03	20	60%	0.23	2	-0.09	8	87%	0.04
Luke Kennard	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.03	7	86%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Edey	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	8	55%	0.11	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Jake LaRavia	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	4	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jay Huff	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	8	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Marcus Smart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.05	5	83%	0.11	4	-0.14	8	87%	0.05
Jaylen Wells	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	53%	0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
John Konchar	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.00	14	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Scotty Pippen Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	14	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dalton Knecht	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.20	0.09	0.01	8	119%	0.31	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,0.11,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.18	0.00	0.15	-0.03	16	52%	0.26	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.18	0.02	0.03	7	100%	0.21	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.02	-0.00	22	67%	0.28	6	-0.19	8	62%	-0.04
Christian Koloko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	2	100%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.06	14	51%	0.09	3	-0.07	7	71%	0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	1	67%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	6	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	4.3	29.4	14.8	30.2	3.3	43.7	151.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +71.3%

MEM -11.8%

MEM -3.1%

MEM -6.7%

LAL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAL	NBA	MEM	LAL	NBA
this game	12.7	14.5	14.4	116.0	120.8	113.1
season	13.2	14.9		116.7	113.8
opponent	14.2	14.3		113.1	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.9	11.4	12.6	12.1	12.7
LAL	14.5	14.7	16.2	12.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Wells	57	58	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-6	7	13.1	12.2	0.94	15.0	13.8	1.15
Santi Aldama	61	60	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.13	6	-13	19	13.8	11.6	2.19	14.6	15.4	-0.79
Zach Edey	55	59	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.36	12	-19	31	11.9	14.1	-2.20	15.1	14.6	0.54
Jaren Jackson Jr.	69	71	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-4	1	12.7	13.5	-0.85	15.1	14.3	0.82
Luke Kennard	52	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.24	0	-7	7	12.9	13.0	-0.04	15.8	14.0	1.79
Jake LaRavia	42	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-3	-1	12.5	13.3	-0.79	15.7	14.3	1.36
Jay Huff	28	27	-0.36	-0.13	-0.23	0.11	-16	9	-25	14.8	12.2	2.54	14.5	15.0	-0.56
John Konchar	26	23	-0.41	-0.08	-0.33	-0.06	-12	5	-17	13.6	12.7	0.90	13.1	15.4	-2.33
Scotty Pippen Jr.	71	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.22	-12	5	-17	12.4	14.3	-1.89	14.4	16.0	-1.66
Marcus Smart	49	48	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.37	-7	0	-7	13.0	12.9	0.07	14.7	15.0	-0.27

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dalton Knecht	66	68	0.78	-0.29	1.07	0.28	17	-12	29	14.7	14.3	0.41	12.9	12.4	0.52
LeBron James	82	81	0.43	0.06	0.37	0.34	3	2	1	14.6	14.5	0.09	12.4	14.0	-1.58
Rui Hachimura	76	77	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.22	7	-2	9	14.8	14.0	0.82	13.3	11.3	1.94
Christian Koloko	29	31	0.32	0.17	0.15	0.15	6	-1	7	13.6	15.0	-1.44	12.2	13.0	-0.78
D'Angelo Russell	45	44	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	0	5	14.3	14.8	-0.53	13.1	12.5	0.60
Gabe Vincent	29	29	0.24	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	-1	7	14.1	14.8	-0.67	12.3	12.9	-0.60
Austin Reaves	79	79	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	6	-7	14.9	13.8	1.09	12.4	13.7	-1.31
Anthony Davis	69	68	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.26	-6	11	-17	14.8	14.2	0.52	13.0	12.2	0.77
Cam Reddish	50	48	-0.27	0.76	-1.03	0.08	-12	17	-29	14.5	14.7	-0.17	12.7	12.8	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.26,0.47,0.3,0.42,0.43,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.76,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 83, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.61,0.68,0.79,1,1,1	91.9%
MIL 94, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.82,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.85,0.92,0.99,1,1	91.9%
WAS 72, MIA 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.58,0.74,0.66,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.91,1,1	91.7%