NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	120		Excitement	10.3 [12]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +51.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	127		Comeback	17.2 [41]		LVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): -19.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Sasser	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.09	0.28	0.00	6	79%	0.36	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malik Beasley	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23	0.17	0.06	0.00	17	76%	0.28	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Moore Jr.	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.12	-0.01	8	56%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Duren	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.15	5	-0.20	4	75%	-0.00
Ronald Holland II	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.08	0.01	10	48%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.40
Tobias Harris	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.11	-0.02	15	33%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.18,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2	-0.07	-0.16	-0.03	34	49%	0.07	6	-0.27	4	100%	0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.51	0.51	0.32	0.24	0.04	34	69%	0.59	3	-0.08	17	94%	0.14
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.06,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.15	0.19	0.00	17	69%	0.39	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.03
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,0.12,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.25	0.25	0.02	0.20	-0.02	16	47%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	8	69%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	30%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	30.0	14.7	28.9	1.7	41.7	1.8	15.2	162.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +3.1%

MIL +33.4%

DET -15.2%

MIL +28.6%

MIL +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MIL	NBA	DET	MIL	NBA
this game	15.2	14.6	14.4	113.2	117.6	112.0
season	14.6	14.5		110.0	111.0
opponent	14.4	14.6		111.8	111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	15.1	12.2	19.3	13.6	17.7	15.2
MIL	14.9	16.0	12.8	14.6	14.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	80	80	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.14	8	-15	23	14.5	17.2	-2.76	14.9	13.6	1.26
Ronald Holland II	60	58	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-8	9	15.1	15.2	-0.04	13.9	15.4	-1.46
Isaiah Stewart	27	28	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-8	9	15.1	15.2	-0.05	15.0	14.4	0.53
Malik Beasley	92	94	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.49	13	-20	33	14.1	21.9	-7.73	14.6	14.3	0.33
Paul Reed	11	12	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	0	-7	15.5	15.1	0.44	15.7	14.4	1.23
Wendell Moore Jr.	44	45	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.25	-17	10	-27	17.3	13.6	3.67	14.2	14.8	-0.64
Jalen Duren	73	74	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	2	-11	15.4	14.6	0.84	14.4	14.9	-0.54
Cade Cunningham	90	91	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.48	-4	-3	-1	14.4	19.4	-5.05	14.4	15.3	-0.85
Marcus Sasser	44	48	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.36	-14	7	-21	16.9	13.9	3.04	15.2	14.0	1.18

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Jackson Jr.	61	56	1.05	-0.55	1.60	0.37	23	-16	39	14.2	15.0	-0.79	17.2	12.9	4.30
Gary Trent Jr.	69	66	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.28	18	-11	29	14.7	14.4	0.26	15.4	14.7	0.68
Giannis Antetokounmpo	87	87	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	0	7	14.5	14.7	-0.17	15.4	13.8	1.66
Taurean Prince	93	93	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.43	-2	9	-11	14.4	15.5	-1.11	14.3	21.2	-6.93
Pat Connaughton	46	47	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.35	24	-17	41	14.3	14.7	-0.39	16.1	14.4	1.79
Brook Lopez	85	84	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.47	-8	15	-23	14.5	14.8	-0.26	14.4	18.0	-3.54
Delon Wright	55	54	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.01	-12	19	-31	15.0	14.1	0.90	14.8	15.6	-0.80
AJ Green	44	43	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.07	-15	22	-37	15.1	14.2	0.87	14.2	15.8	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.16,0.08,0.14,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.42,0.54,0.43,0.53,0.43,0.53,0.64,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.45,0.22,0.58,0.54,0.8,0.96,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 89, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.54,0.32,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.78,0.74,1	86.5%
NYK 117, SAC 124	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.51,0.54,0.78,0.55,0.15,0.23,0.41,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.76,0.98,1	85.6%
LAC 96, IND 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.68,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.99,1	85.5%