NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	117		Excitement	10.3 [40]		MVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): +42.3%
Sacramento Kings	124		Comeback	11.4 [278]		LVP	Mark Jackson (NYK): -22.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.11	0.31	-0.01	13	72%	0.45	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.06
Glen Rice	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.12	0.00	14	69%	0.32	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.07
Othella Harrington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	71%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02	0.08	-0.05	0.00	15	60%	0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Larry Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	16	42%	-0.02	1	-0.05	6	67%	-0.04
Charlie Ward	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	4	37%	-0.02	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.14	-0.03	18	48%	-0.13	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Mark Jackson	-0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.08	-0.15	-0.01	3	25%	-0.14	2	-0.09	2	0%	-0.13

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.27,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.05	0.28	-0.02	18	66%	0.42	4	-0.07	8	75%	0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.01	0.14	0.01	12	55%	0.26	2	-0.13	5	80%	0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.1,0,0,0,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.04	-0.00	26	61%	0.32	4	-0.32	12	58%	0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	68%	0.09	4	-0.10	7	86%	0.06
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	3	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	8	59%	0.01	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.04
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.05	-0.14	-0.00	4	36%	-0.18	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	26.6	16.3	25.5	2.4	42.4	1.4	14.6	153.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +33.1%

SAC +12.7%

SAC +30.5%

NYK -27.1%

SAC +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAC	NBA	NYK	SAC	NBA
this game	15.4	13.6	15.5	107.3	112.7	100.9
season	16.4	14.4		99.2	103.1
opponent	15.5	16.1		97.8	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	14.3	15.3	16.8	16.3	13.2	15.4
SAC	12.9	15.3	12.5	14.3	12.9	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	30	30	0.60	-1.10	1.70	0.34	9	-16	25	14.9	15.6	-0.67	14.2	13.4	0.83
Mark Jackson	62	61	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.21	-4	-3	-1	15.0	16.0	-1.02	12.5	15.0	-2.51
Othella Harrington	26	27	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-8	9	15.5	15.4	0.05	13.7	13.6	0.15
Larry Johnson	14	15	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-9	11	15.7	15.4	0.34	13.5	13.6	-0.11
Marcus Camby	81	82	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	-2	-3	16.0	13.6	2.44	13.6	13.8	-0.26
Allan Houston	93	94	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.29	-8	1	-9	15.4	15.4	0.06	13.6	14.1	-0.51
Glen Rice	65	66	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.77	2	-9	11	15.5	15.3	0.17	14.6	12.2	2.33
Kurt Thomas	72	71	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.51	-7	0	-7	15.6	15.0	0.60	14.3	12.3	2.00
Latrell Sprewell	91	92	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.23	-18	11	-29	15.3	15.9	-0.63	13.2	16.0	-2.84

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Williams	85	86	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.30	21	-14	35	12.4	17.8	-5.35	14.7	18.0	-3.32
Doug Christie	98	97	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.27	15	-8	23	13.3	16.5	-3.22	15.3	16.6	-1.30
Peja Stojakovic	105	103	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.27	10	-3	13	13.6	14.4	-0.81	15.5	14.7	0.80
Chris Webber	104	102	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.27	7	0	7	13.5	15.7	-2.16	15.6	13.3	2.28
Hedo Turkoglu	49	48	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.37	-4	11	-15	14.6	12.8	1.78	15.5	15.3	0.21
Vlade Divac	61	62	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.10	8	-1	9	12.8	14.6	-1.78	15.3	15.6	-0.31
Jon Barry	14	13	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.08	-11	18	-29	17.4	13.1	4.36	16.9	15.2	1.70
Scot Pollard	34	34	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.01	-11	18	-29	16.6	12.3	4.29	16.5	14.9	1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.51,0.54,0.78,0.55,0.15,0.23,0.41,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.76,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 89, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.54,0.32,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.78,0.74,1	89.3%
CHI 95, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.16,0.29,0.23,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.3,0.38,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.22,0.28,0.54,0.31,0.55,0.68,0.91,1	88.5%
LAC 96, IND 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.68,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.99,1	88.1%