NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	119		Excitement	8.1 [75]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (CLE): +28.3%
Chicago Bulls	113		Comeback	4.4 [142]		LVP	Sam Merrill (CLE): -13.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0.28	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.28	0.20	0.11	0.04	26	62%	0.28	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Caris LeVert	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.06	0.09	-0.00	7	63%	0.17	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Georges Niang	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	10	57%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jarrett Allen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Darius Garland	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	17	46%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Evan Mobley	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	10	65%	0.14	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Ty Jerome	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	9	67%	0.11	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Sam Merrill	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.07	-0.00	20	63%	0.28	2	-0.10	1	0%	-0.04
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adama Sanogo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	45%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Talen Horton-Tucker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	-0.01	13	65%	0.13	5	-0.16	5	100%	0.03
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.07	0.02	15	62%	0.04	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.03
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	13	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.05	-0.08	0.04	11	75%	0.07	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	25.3	14.6	30.1	2.4	29.7	126.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +16.3%

CLE +6.9%

CHI -2.2%

CLE +29.7%

CHI -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	14.6	13.2	14.4	114.4	109.7	112.0
season	13.6	13.2		120.3	112.8
opponent	14.1	14.8		117.0	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.4	14.1	14.0	16.1	14.6
CHI	12.3	12.6	13.7	14.5	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Wade	41	40	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.31	14	-8	22	14.0	15.0	-1.02	14.3	12.6	1.72
Ty Jerome	45	47	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.07	21	-15	36	13.8	15.2	-1.36	13.6	12.9	0.65
Evan Mobley	68	69	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.13	11	-5	16	14.8	14.1	0.70	12.8	14.2	-1.42
Georges Niang	35	34	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	-7	20	14.3	14.8	-0.51	13.7	13.0	0.76
Donovan Mitchell	73	72	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.24	7	-1	8	15.1	13.4	1.68	13.9	11.6	2.30
Sam Merrill	39	38	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	-5	16	14.8	14.5	0.28	13.0	13.3	-0.31
Caris LeVert	52	51	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	5	-4	14.5	14.7	-0.19	13.3	13.2	0.14
Darius Garland	65	65	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.29	-16	22	-38	15.0	13.8	1.20	12.7	14.1	-1.40
Isaac Okoro	44	43	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.02	-9	15	-24	14.1	14.9	-0.84	12.6	13.6	-1.02
Jarrett Allen	58	56	-0.56	1.06	-1.63	0.11	-23	29	-52	14.8	14.4	0.37	12.7	13.9	-1.19

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach LaVine	77	78	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.25	16	-22	38	12.8	14.6	-1.81	14.6	14.7	-0.13
Nikola Vucevic	75	76	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.26	14	-20	34	12.7	14.6	-1.90	14.8	14.1	0.72
Matas Buzelis	8	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-6	6	10.2	13.5	-3.22	16.0	14.5	1.52
Adama Sanogo	10	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-5	4	11.1	13.5	-2.35	16.1	14.5	1.66
Josh Giddey	71	70	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-8	10	12.8	14.2	-1.35	14.7	14.4	0.36
Talen Horton-Tucker	1	2	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-3	0	22.0	13.1	8.86	7.5	14.7	-7.24
Coby White	78	81	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.40	4	-10	14	13.2	13.4	-0.23	15.2	12.6	2.55
Patrick Williams	78	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-1	-4	13.5	12.4	1.14	14.3	15.5	-1.17
Dalen Terry	32	31	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.07	-15	9	-24	14.2	12.8	1.49	15.1	14.4	0.71
Julian Phillips	22	21	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.07	-21	15	-36	14.7	12.8	1.91	11.9	15.3	-3.37
Ayo Dosunmu	63	64	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.25	-21	15	-36	14.1	11.8	2.33	14.4	14.9	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.26,0.3,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.78,0.6,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.34,0.46,0.25,0.04,0.03,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 93, UTA 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.2,0.1,0.18,0.34,0.27,0.15,0.07,0.06,0,0	91.1%
SAC 113, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.41,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.38,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.26,0.24,0.14,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.19,0.15,0.33,0.05,0	91.0%
CHI 98, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.03,0,0	90.8%