NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	103		Excitement	5.7 [125]		MVP	Anthony Davis (LAL): +19.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	123		Comeback	3.2 [130]		LVP	Rui Hachimura (LAL): -11.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Boucher	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.04	0.02	9	78%	0.17	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.01
Ochai Agbaji	0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.04	0.02	7	100%	0.20	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Gradey Dick	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.07	0.02	10	64%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	12	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Immanuel Quickley	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	15	36%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Jonathan Mogbo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	2	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jamison Battle	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Shead	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	15	46%	0.01	4	-0.11	9	78%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.19	0.02	0.02	8	85%	0.19	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.00	7	79%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.21	0.02	0.10	17	69%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.01	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	13	58%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.06	-0.02	14	54%	0.15	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.04
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	5	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dalton Knecht	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bronny James	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxwell Lewis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	11	18%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	1.6	28.8	14.8	36.2	2.6	33.2	144.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +28.0%

LAL +5.3%

TOR -12.2%

LAL +25.2%

LAL +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAL	NBA	TOR	LAL	NBA
this game	15.3	16.0	14.4	110.8	135.2	112.0
season	14.0	14.7		110.7	117.3
opponent	14.2	14.7		116.4	116.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.6	15.2	16.7	14.7	15.3
LAL	16.1	14.2	15.3	18.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jakob Poeltl	60	58	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.27	-4	-16	12	15.6	14.8	0.78	16.6	15.1	1.46
Jamal Shead	17	17	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-23	26	16.0	15.1	0.87	15.1	16.2	-1.11
Jamison Battle	24	25	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.06	-1	-19	18	14.6	15.5	-0.90	16.2	16.0	0.19
Gradey Dick	64	61	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.27	-12	-8	-4	16.0	13.8	2.13	16.5	15.1	1.38
Jonathan Mogbo	14	15	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	-14	8	15.4	15.3	0.08	16.3	16.0	0.37
Davion Mitchell	33	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	-13	6	16.6	14.6	1.99	15.6	16.3	-0.77
Ochai Agbaji	65	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-9	-2	14.8	16.4	-1.58	16.4	15.0	1.40
Bruno Fernando	21	21	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.16	-10	-10	0	14.5	15.5	-1.05	14.2	16.6	-2.32
Chris Boucher	38	39	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	-13	6	15.3	15.3	-0.05	15.8	16.2	-0.44
RJ Barrett	73	69	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.20	-24	4	-28	14.8	17.1	-2.37	15.6	17.5	-1.95
Immanuel Quickley	56	50	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.08	-21	1	-22	15.1	15.6	-0.55	16.4	15.6	0.84

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D'Angelo Russell	51	52	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.12	18	2	16	15.0	17.3	-2.28	15.5	15.0	0.52
Jaxson Hayes	42	42	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.06	21	-1	22	16.1	16.0	0.14	14.7	15.8	-1.05
LeBron James	69	70	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.01	13	7	6	16.3	15.2	1.11	14.2	18.7	-4.58
Dalton Knecht	26	25	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	6	8	14.3	16.7	-2.40	19.3	13.8	5.51
Gabe Vincent	36	37	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.00	13	7	6	15.5	16.4	-0.86	14.5	15.8	-1.38
Cam Reddish	54	56	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	13	-6	17.0	14.6	2.31	14.7	16.2	-1.49
Austin Reaves	62	65	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.29	11	9	2	16.3	15.4	0.84	15.0	16.1	-1.12
Bronny James	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	15.3	16.0	-0.71	15.5	15.3	0.21
Max Christie	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	15.3	16.0	-0.71	15.5	15.3	0.21
Maxwell Lewis	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	15.3	16.0	-0.71	15.5	15.3	0.21
Rui Hachimura	58	61	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.27	6	14	-8	16.6	15.0	1.60	16.0	13.9	2.16
Anthony Davis	48	51	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.01	-3	23	-26	16.0	16.1	-0.09	15.9	14.6	1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.27,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.49,0.35,0.26,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 95, BOS 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.48,0.6,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,0.99,0.85,1	94.1%
WAS 78, NJN 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.97,1,1	93.9%
MIL 92, ORL 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.6,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.86,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%