NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	105		Excitement	11.6 [4]		MVP	LaMelo Ball (CHA): +45.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	107		Comeback	2.3 [110]		LVP	Paul George (PHI): -30.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMelo Ball	0.46	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.17,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.34,0.27,0.13,0.22,0.46,0.46	0.05	0.40	-0.01	30	57%	0.56	6	-0.10	7	86%	0.08
Taj Gibson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Seth Curry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Grant Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,0,-0.04	-0.01	0.01	0.05	14	53%	0.04	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.07
Tre Mann	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Moussa Diabate	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.08	0.01	4	50%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Miller	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.11	0.06	-0.18	-0.01	16	59%	-0.05	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.06
Tidjane Salaun	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	8	44%	-0.00	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared McCain	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.56,0.28	0.28	0.15	0.12	-0.00	18	67%	0.44	1	-0.16	4	100%	0.04
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.07	0.07	-0.09	0.14	-0.02	10	33%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	50%	0.04
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	7	69%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	8	65%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	3	80%	0.11	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.09	0.04	5	42%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.1,0.1,-0.04	-0.04	0.10	-0.14	0.00	13	67%	0.05	1	-0.09	4	50%	-0.16
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.30	-0.11	-0.19	0.01	18	39%	-0.20	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.4	2.4	29.4	15.4	24.5	2.3	34.4	2.6	25.2	164.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +68.5%

CHA -31.0%

PHI +4.4%

PHI +11.0%

CHA -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHI	NBA	CHA	PHI	NBA
this game	14.4	15.2	14.4	97.2	100.0	112.0
season	14.8	15.2		109.5	104.4
opponent	14.2	14.3		113.0	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	16.4	12.5	14.6	14.5	13.7	14.4
PHI	14.3	14.1	16.1	16.8	14.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Martin	64	61	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-5	8	15.1	13.2	1.86	15.1	15.3	-0.20
Taj Gibson	29	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.10	3	-5	8	13.7	14.6	-0.91	15.2	15.3	-0.07
Tidjane Salaun	41	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-2	2	13.3	15.0	-1.71	15.7	15.0	0.69
Moussa Diabate	44	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.21	1	-3	4	16.1	13.2	2.90	15.8	14.8	0.97
Seth Curry	32	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-2	2	14.0	14.5	-0.50	12.4	16.7	-4.33
Tre Mann	30	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	6	-14	16.2	13.7	2.51	14.0	15.7	-1.65
Brandon Miller	83	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.44	3	-5	8	14.1	15.2	-1.16	16.1	12.9	3.12
Josh Green	56	56	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	8	-18	13.6	15.1	-1.51	15.6	14.9	0.71
LaMelo Ball	85	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.58	3	-5	8	13.7	16.7	-2.98	15.4	14.7	0.65
Grant Williams	76	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	3	-8	14.5	14.0	0.54	15.3	15.0	0.37

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Oubre Jr.	65	65	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.59	7	-5	12	15.9	14.2	1.72	13.8	15.2	-1.35
Guerschon Yabusele	59	62	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-10	22	15.2	15.3	-0.07	14.6	14.0	0.61
Caleb Martin	84	83	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.47	1	1	0	15.0	16.0	-1.03	14.4	14.2	0.20
Kyle Lowry	66	68	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.32	-1	3	-4	16.1	13.8	2.28	13.8	15.3	-1.47
Eric Gordon	35	36	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	-7	16	12.8	16.4	-3.66	15.4	13.8	1.64
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	47	46	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.12	3	-1	4	14.3	16.0	-1.74	15.1	13.8	1.28
Jared McCain	63	64	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.44	-9	11	-20	14.8	15.9	-1.07	14.3	14.5	-0.17
Andre Drummond	50	49	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.20	-10	12	-22	15.5	15.0	0.50	14.4	14.3	0.18
Paul George	66	67	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.10	-2	4	-6	16.2	13.6	2.59	14.0	14.9	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.64,0.75,0.76,0.65,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.83,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.46,0.67,0.84,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.43,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 94, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.84,0.78,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.84,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.27,1	90.0%
NJN 93, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.53,0.72,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.57,0.42,1	89.9%
IND 98, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.74,0.59,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.57,0.42,1	89.3%