NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	98		Excitement	10.5 [48]		MVP	Mitch Richmond (SAC): +44.2%
Sacramento Kings	105		Comeback	2.8 [524]		LVP	Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf (SAC): -38.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick McKey	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.10	0.01	8	75%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	20	68%	0.17	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Jalen Rose	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Duane Ferrell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Allen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vincent Askew	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	10	40%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	5	50%	-0.04	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Travis Best	-0.34	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.32,-0.34	-0.13	-0.23	-0.02	14	29%	-0.34	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.08
Reggie Miller	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.35	-0.04	-0.33	-0.02	16	51%	-0.27	2	-0.08	9	67%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.44	0.44	0.11	0.33	-0.00	21	66%	0.49	2	-0.05	14	93%	0.10
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Gamble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Causwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	0	100%	0.01	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	10	40%	0.02	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.14	-0.01	15	44%	0.03	2	-0.21	2	100%	0.02
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.14	-0.19	0.00	12	40%	-0.21	4	-0.12	6	50%	-0.10
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.08,0,-0.08,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39	-0.39	0.01	-0.40	-0.01	15	52%	-0.31	1	-0.08	3	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.4	2.5	22.6	16.3	30.1	1.8	30.1	1.6	16.4	144.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +36.6%

SAC +20.1%

SAC +30.5%

IND -34.6%

IND -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAC	NBA	IND	SAC	NBA
this game	15.5	16.0	15.6	99.0	101.9	104.4
season	15.3	15.4		103.6	102.4
opponent	15.4	16.3		106.0	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	14.6	16.7	14.3	16.8	15.3	15.5
SAC	15.4	16.8	13.9	19.2	14.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	73	79	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.04	3	-10	13	14.9	17.1	-2.21	16.1	15.7	0.37
Erick Dampier	39	38	0.11	-0.60	0.71	-0.19	10	-17	27	14.7	16.0	-1.35	18.2	14.7	3.52
Jerome Allen	14	15	-0.00	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	-4	1	18.5	15.0	3.51	13.4	16.4	-3.03
Jalen Rose	25	26	-0.01	-0.48	0.48	-0.01	0	-7	7	16.3	15.2	1.12	16.6	15.8	0.78
Vincent Askew	51	51	-0.18	-0.31	0.13	-0.24	2	-9	11	15.8	15.1	0.74	17.1	14.9	2.27
Derrick McKey	71	75	-0.32	-0.17	-0.15	-0.17	-5	-2	-3	15.6	15.3	0.28	15.6	17.0	-1.39
Duane Ferrell	35	34	-0.33	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	3	-13	17.8	14.2	3.54	14.0	17.0	-3.01
Rik Smits	17	21	-0.39	-0.10	-0.30	0.02	-14	7	-21	14.8	15.6	-0.87	14.5	16.4	-1.84
Reggie Miller	82	86	-0.47	-0.02	-0.45	-0.32	-5	-2	-3	14.8	18.6	-3.75	16.1	15.4	0.69
Travis Best	78	80	-0.48	-0.01	-0.47	-0.31	-6	-1	-5	15.2	16.7	-1.56	16.0	15.8	0.27

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	49	49	0.57	-0.08	0.65	0.42	5	2	3	15.7	16.2	-0.53	16.3	14.7	1.59
Michael Smith	85	81	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.26	8	-1	9	16.1	15.7	0.39	15.0	17.9	-2.94
Mitch Richmond	84	81	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.20	8	-1	9	15.0	20.2	-5.11	15.2	16.7	-1.51
Billy Owens	71	68	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	1	5	16.4	15.1	1.26	16.0	14.4	1.55
Tyus Edney	44	41	0.33	0.16	0.17	0.10	8	-1	9	15.5	16.4	-0.90	13.6	16.8	-3.28
Duane Causwell	25	22	0.18	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	5	-3	16.3	15.9	0.38	15.7	15.4	0.25
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	60	59	0.14	0.35	-0.21	0.17	-1	8	-9	16.2	15.7	0.54	16.6	13.9	2.66
Kevin Gamble	20	19	0.03	0.46	-0.42	0.06	-1	8	-9	19.5	15.1	4.36	15.8	15.4	0.44
Olden Polynice	77	75	-0.12	0.61	-0.73	-0.12	0	7	-7	15.9	16.3	-0.48	15.5	15.6	-0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.74,0.59,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.57,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 111, CHA 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.67,0.69,0.84,0.91,0.72,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.67,0.69,1	88.6%
MIA 96, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.85,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.85,1	88.3%
UTA 96, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.79,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.58,1	87.9%