NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	121		Excitement	7.3 [71]		MVP	Bennedict Mathurin (IND): +44.2%
Indiana Pacers	132		Comeback	3.7 [48]		LVP	Mikal Bridges (NYK): -9.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.19	0.08	0.04	17	72%	0.34	3	-0.11	12	83%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.06	0.04	19	65%	0.17	2	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
OG Anunoby	0.16	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.01	-0.01	14	78%	0.25	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Josh Hart	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.01	12	59%	0.11	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Jericho Sims	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Kolek	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	9	39%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	36%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.44	0.36	0.13	0.05	18	90%	0.46	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.22	0.13	0.04	18	74%	0.36	2	-0.06	11	82%	0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.10	0.05	15	72%	0.26	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.08	0.01	13	50%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Quenton Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enrique Freeman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Furphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.7	27.6	14.8	37.1	2.4	31.5	141.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +40.6%

NYK -0.3%

IND +3.1%

IND +4.2%

IND +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	15.1	14.0	14.4	122.2	133.3	112.0
season	15.3	13.6		121.7	111.7
opponent	15.0	14.3		116.2	115.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.4	14.4	15.0	15.7	15.1
IND	13.4	13.3	13.3	16.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jericho Sims	19	19	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.04	2	-13	15	14.1	15.3	-1.28	15.5	13.6	1.82
Tyler Kolek	3	3	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-9	7	18.3	15.0	3.34	14.0	14.0	-0.00
OG Anunoby	76	77	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.09	-2	-9	7	14.6	16.8	-2.26	13.7	15.1	-1.40
Jalen Brunson	84	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	-3	-5	14.6	17.7	-3.11	14.2	12.9	1.25
Miles McBride	57	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-6	1	16.1	13.7	2.47	14.7	13.1	1.56
Mikal Bridges	87	86	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	0	-11	15.1	14.8	0.29	13.8	15.0	-1.15
Karl-Anthony Towns	80	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.13	-13	2	-15	15.3	14.1	1.28	13.6	15.5	-1.82
Josh Hart	89	89	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.11	-16	5	-21	15.2	14.4	0.77	13.8	15.6	-1.78

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bennedict Mathurin	84	85	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.11	16	-5	21	14.5	11.3	3.14	15.3	14.0	1.27
Myles Turner	80	80	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-3	17	13.6	15.5	-1.82	15.3	14.1	1.28
Tyrese Haliburton	74	75	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.02	12	-1	13	13.8	14.7	-0.91	14.3	17.6	-3.29
Jarace Walker	53	53	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	10	-9	14.5	13.5	1.02	16.6	13.4	3.22
Pascal Siakam	71	71	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	3	5	13.7	14.8	-1.10	14.9	15.6	-0.67
T.J. McConnell	30	30	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	8	-5	14.1	13.9	0.19	17.4	14.1	3.27
Ben Sheppard	48	50	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.00	5	6	-1	13.9	14.1	-0.16	13.5	16.7	-3.21
Quenton Jackson	27	24	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	11	-11	12.8	14.5	-1.68	14.3	15.3	-1.00
Johnny Furphy	9	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	12	-13	14.8	13.9	0.86	16.1	15.0	1.12
Enrique Freeman	19	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	14	-17	15.5	13.6	1.82	14.1	15.3	-1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.41,0.42,0.27,0.21,0.35,0.38,0.55,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.89,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 105, CLE 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.86,0.94,1,1,1	92.6%
SAS 75, SAC 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.85,1	92.5%
MEM 78, HOU 85	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.21,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.99,0.98,1	92.4%